The latest WoElo data paints a bleak (pun intended) picture for Stormcast players using the Sentinels of the Bleak Citadels battle formation. While the army posts a 46% overall win rate, its WoElo Adjusted Win Rate falls to 44%, suggesting that the faction’s struggles persist even when accounting for player skill.
On first look, it might not seem a dramatic difference, but it’s fairly important. WoElo Adjusted Win Rate is designed to remove some of the influence of player ability, helping us to understand how the faction itself is performing. In the Sentinels of the Bleak Citadels case, the adjusted figure suggests the army is currently underperforming on its own merits rather than simply being piloted by weaker players.
The current dataset contains 26 players across 132 games, but only two of those players have a WoElo above 500. As a result, the 500+ pick percentages in the following images should be treated as directional rather than definitive. They can highlight trends, but they’re far from conclusive with it being such a small sample.
Tournament Performance
Stormcast players are proving capable of solid tournament finishes, but converting those into podium results remains difficult. Only 8% of players were able to achieve four wins or more, while the majority at 42% finished with two wins.
Overall, this suggests Sentinels of the Bleak Citadels are most commonly ending events with 2-3 wins rather than consistently challenging for top tables.
Enhancements
List construction appears to be fairly settled at the moment with Quicksilver Draught being the most common Artefact of Power. Despite posting a respectable 49% win rate across 67 games, it’s WoElo Adjusted Win Rate falls to 44%, matching the faction average. The less common Blade of the Six Smiths actually improves sightly after adjusting for player skill, posting an adjusted win rate of 48%.
Heroic Traits are also interesting, the two 500+ players both chose this as their trait yet it only records an adjusted win rate of 42%, below the faction adjusted rate. That doesn’t necessarily mean the trait is weak, but it does suggest that simply copying elite list choices may not automatically translate into better results.
Meanwhile Envoy of the Heavens and Shock and Awe both perform slightly above the faction adjusted rate despite being absent from higher-rated players’ lists.
Players are committing to the Scar of War, Veterans of the Amberstone Watch. It appears to be a dependable choice at the moment.
Battle Tactics
Sentinels players favour Burning for Vengeance which appears in 98 games and peforms in line with faction’s adjusted win rate. The remaining commonly selected tactics all cluster around the same performance. This does suggest Battle Tactics are not currently making a large impact on separating successful and unsuccessful lists.
Common Warscrolls
Reclusians top the usage charts, appearing in 95 games, while Vanguard-Raptors with Longstrike Crossbows, Lord-Terminos, Vigilors and Questor Soulsworn all feature heavily.
But popularity doesn’t equate to performance. Longstrike Crossbows post a 42% adjusted win rate, below the factions own adjusted win rate, despite being one of the main choices.
Prosecutors continue to stand out though. Although they appear in fewer lists than several other units, they have a 49% adjusted win rate making them possibly, one of the strongest warscrolls that Sentinels of the Bleak Citadels can use.
Most Impactful Warscrolls
Looking past popularity means we can look at some other units that may deserve some attention.
Liberators are seemingly good with an adjusted win rate of 52%, making them one of the few units that comfortably outperforms the faction.
Stormcoven, Prosecutors and Yndrasta also exceed the adjusted faction win rate, meaning there may be some value in including them.
On the otherside, Karazai the Scarred and Vanquishers all appear to be struggling posting a 40% and 42% adjusted win rate respectively.
Perhaps the most interesting example is the Celestant-Prime, his raw win rate of 64% initially looks really good, but once player skill is taken into account, the adjusted win rate falls to 45%. Much of his success seems to be driven by the calibre of players fielding him rather than the warscroll itself.
Final Thoughts
Stormcast Eternals are the games most common army, and Sentinels of the Bleak Citadels is its players most common Battle Formation, but they face an uphill struggle in competition play. Their already low 46% becomes 44% once player skill is taken into account.
But there are positives, Prosecutors, Liberators, Stormcoven and Yndrasta all are currently pulling the faction up, there may be some room therefore for innovation.
As always, these findings are based on the first 100 games played with the Battle Formation. The Elite 500+ player sample is too small to draw any meaningful conclusions from so the WoElo pick rates should only be viewed as early indicators. Even so, data could be suggesting that Sentinels players may have more success by looking beyond the established lists and exploring some of the less obvious options.