Category Archives: Meta Analysis

AoS Meta Stats (w/e 19th June 2022)

Here are the AoS Meta Stats for all the Grand Tournaments that have taken place between Monday 13th June and Sunday 19th June 2022. These are all the GT’s that I can locate on Tabletop.to or BestCoastPairing, if you know of any others please send me a link and I’ll add them.

There was a total of 3 Grand Tournaments last week, a quiet week! That being said, one of them was the awesome UK tSports Champions, which our very own Declan was invited to take part in. You can read up on his prep here.

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Grand Tournaments

Ranked from largest to smallest.

Pyrehammer 2022 – Wielkopolskie/Poland
40 Players

PositionFactionSubfactionResult
1stSons of BehematBreaker Tribe4-0-1
2ndStormcast EternalsHammers of Sigmar4-0-1
3rdBeasts of Chaos5-0-0
4thSylvaneth4-0-1
5thMaggotkin of NurgleDrowned Men4-0-1
6thLumineth Realm-LordsSyar3-1-1
7thKharadron OverlordsBarak-Zilfin3-1-1
8thMaggotkin of NurgleDrowned Men3-0-2
9thStormcast EternalsHallowed Knights4-0-1
10thMaggotkin of NurlgeDrowned Men3-1-1
Pyrehammer AoS GT

Rise of the Everchosen – Emilia Romagna/Italy
32 Players

PositionFactionSubfactionResult
1stMaggotkin of NurgleDrowned Men5-0-0
2ndMaggotkin of NurgleDrowned Men4-1-0
3rdSlaves to DarknessKnights of the Empty Throne4-1-0
4thStormcast EternalsHammers of Sigmar4-0-1
5thFyreslayersLofnir4-0-1
6thSeraphonThunder Lizard3-0-2
7thSeraphonThunder Lizard3-0-2
8thSons of BehematStomper Tribe3-0-2
9thStormcast EternalsKnights Excelsior3-0-2
10thCities of SigmarLiving City3-0-2
Rise of the Everchosen AoS GT

UK tSports Champions – England/UK
16 Players

PositionFactionSubfactionResult
1stBeasts of ChaosAllherd5-0-0
2ndMaggotkin of NurgleDrowned Men4-0-1
3rdMaggotkin of NurgleDroning Guard3-0-2
4thFyreslayersLofnir3-0-2
5thCities of SigmarTempest’s Eye3-1-1
6thIdoneth DeepkinMor’Phann2-0-3
7thSeraphonThunder Lizard3-0-2
8thNighthauntEmerald Host2-0-3
9thNighthauntScarlet Doom3-0-2
10thCities of SigmarHallowheart3-0-2
UK tSports Champions AoS GT
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Grand Alliance Stats

286 players took part in 10 GT’s over the last week.

Grand AllianceWin RateArmies% Share of Armies5-0 Wins4+ Wins
Chaos64.7%1921.59%37
Order49.2%4955.68%05
Destruction43.8%89.09%01
Death34.2%1213.64%00

Faction Stats

The below stat show the results for those factions represented by 5 armies or more only.

FactionWin RateArmies% Share of Armies5-0 Wins0-5 Losses
Maggotkin of Nurgle66.0%1011.36%14
Cities of Sigmar58.6%77.95%00
Stormcast Eternals54.0%1011.36%03
Idoneth Deepkin46.0%55.68%00
Seraphon43.0%1011.36%00
Fyrselayers40.0%77.95%01
Soulblight Gravelords33.3%66.82%00

Maggotkin of Nurgle top the charts this week in a very small data set. With a win rate of 66.0% Followed closely by Cities of Sigmar with a win rate of 58.6%. Seraphon, Fyreslayers and Soulblight Gravelords all struggling to make that magical 45% mark with Soulblight Gravelords being the only faction below 40%.

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Subfaction Stats

Only Seraphon/Thunder Lizard and Maggotkin of Nurgle/Drowned Men made the requirement for this table (min 5 armies represented). Thunder Lizard managed a win rate of 43% while Drowned Men achieved 72.5%……

AoS Meta Stats (w/e 12th June 2022)

On Reddit Warhammer 40k has the Meta Mondays posted by the brilliant u/JCMS85 on r/WarhammerCompetitive. So why can’t we have one for AoS? Well we can….

Here are the stats for all the Grand Tournaments that have taken place between Monday 6th June and Sunday 12th June 2022. These are all the GT’s that I can locate on Tabletop.to or BestCoastPairing, if you know of any others please send me a link and I’ll add them.

There was a total of 10 Grand Tournaments last week, however only 9 had data available to analyse. Valleycon 2022 was a 26 player tournament but no lists were available at the time of publishing these stats.

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Grand Tournaments

Ranked from largest to smallest.

US Open San Diego – California/USA
74 Players

PositionFactionSubfactionResult
1stSeraphonThunder Lizard5-0-0
2ndCities of SigmarLiving City5-0-0
3rdCities of SigmarLiving City5-0-0
4thBonesplitterzDrakkfoot4-0-1
5thBlades of KhorneReapers of Vengeance4-0-1
6thLumineth Realm-LordsZaitrec4-0-1
7thStormcast EternalsHammers of Sigmar4-0-1
8thLegion of the First Prince4-0-1
9thBeasts of ChaosGavespawn4-0-1
10thSeraphonThunder Lizard4-0-1
San Diego Open

Atlantic City Open – New Jersey/USA
73 Players

PositionFactionSubfactionResult
1stMaggotkin of NurgleDrowned Men5-0-0
2ndSoulblight GravelordsLegion of Blood5-0-0
3rdMaggotkin of NurgleDrowned Men4-0-1
4thIdoneth DeepkinNautilar4-0-1
5thSkaventide4-0-1
6thDaughters of KhaineKhailebron4-0-1
7thDaughters of KhaineHagg Nar4-0-1
8thSons of BehematBreaker Tribe4-0-1
9thStormcast EternalsHammers of Sigmar4-0-1
10thLegion of the First Prince4-0-1
Atlantic City Open

GT de CAT – Catalunya/Spain
30 Players

PositionFactionSubfactionResult
1stSeraphonThunder Lizard5-0-0
2ndSeraphonThunder Lizard4-0-1
3rdLegion of the First Prince4-0-1
4thMaggotkin of NurgleDrowned Men4-0-1
5thSeraphonThunder Lizard4-0-1
6thNighthauntReikenor’s Condemned3-0-2
7thSylvaneth3-0-2
8thDaughters of KhaineKhailebron3-0-2
9thDisciples of TzeentchHosts Duplicitous3-0-2
10thKharadon OverlordsBarak-Zilfin3-0-2
GT de CAT

Mawtribes Massacre: Annihilation – England/UK
30 Players

PositionFactionSubfactionResult
1stStormcast EternalsHammers of Sigmar4-0-1
2ndIronjawzIronsunz4-0-1
3rdMaggotkin of NurgleDrowned Men4-0-1
4thSeraphonThunder Lizard4-0-1
5thFyreslayersGreyfyrd3-1-1
6thBeasts of ChaosGavespawn3-0-2
7thDaughters of KhaineHagg Nar3-0-2
8thStormcast EternalsHallowed Knights3-0-2
9thLegion of the First Prince3-0-2
10thSoulblight GravelordsVyrkos Dynasty3-0-2
Mawtribes Massacre: Annihilation

Sunshine Coast Open – England/UK
27 Players

PositionFactionSubfactionResult
1stSeraphonDracothion’s Tail5-0-0
2ndNighthauntScarlet Doom4-1-0
3rdIdoneth DeepkinIonrach4-0-1
4thSeraphonThunder Lizard3-1-1
5thSons of BehematTaker Tribe3-1-1
6thNighthauntEmerald Host3-0-2
7thLumineth Realm-LordsAlumnia3-0-2
8thCities of SigmarTempest’s Eye3-0-2
9thBeasts of ChaosGavespawn3-0-2
10thGloomspite GitzGlogg’s Megamob3-0-2
Sunshine Coast Open

Wargames for Warriors – Utah/USA
22 Players

PositionFactionSubfactionResult
1stLegion of the First Prince4-0-1
2ndDaughters of KhaineKhelt Nar4-0-1
3rdNighthauntEmerald Host4-0-1
4thSoulblight GravelordsKastelai Dynasty4-0-1
5thDaughters of KhaineZainthar Kai3-0-2
6thSlaves to DarknessRavagers3-0-2
7thStormcast EternalsHammers of Sigmar3-0-2
8thMaggotkin of NurgleBefouling Host3-0-2
9thSoulblight GravelordsKastelai Dynasty3-0-2
10thSoulblight GravelordsKastelai Dynasty3-0-2
Wargames for Warriors

Justice Series – England/UK
18 Players

PositionFactionSubfactionResult
1stMaggotkin of NurgleBefouling Host5-0-0
2ndDaughters of KhaineZainthar Kai4-0-1
3rdCities of SigmarTempest’s Eye4-0-1
4thNighthauntScarlet Doom3-0-2
5thMaggotkin of NurgleDrowned Men3-0-2
6thSoulblight GravelordsVyrkos Dynasty3-0-2
7thSons of BehematBreaker Tribe3-0-2
8thDaughters of KhaineZainthar Kai3-0-2
9thKruleboyzBig Yellers3-0-2
10thStormcast EternalsTempest Lords2-0-3
Justice Series

Game Knight AoS GT – Ontario/Canada
12 Players

PositionFactionSubfactionResult
1stIdoneth DeepkinMor’Phann5-0-0
2ndSons of BehematBreaker Tribe3-0-2
3rdOgor MawtribesBoulderhead3-0-2
4thStormcast EternalsHammers of Sigmar3-0-2
5thMaggotkin of NurgleMunificent Wanderers3-0-2
6thBonesplitterzIcebone3-0-0
7thLegion of the First Prince2-0-3
8thLumineth Realm-LordsZaitrec2-0-3
9thOssiarch BonereapersPetrifex Elite2-0-3
10thBlades of KhorneBaleful Lords2-0-3
Game Knight AoS GT
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Grand Alliance Stats

286 players took part in 10 GT’s over the last week.

Grand AllianceWin RateArmies% Share of Armies5-0 Wins4+ Wins
Chaos54.5%5619.6%213
Order51.0%11941.6%622
Death46.6%4816.8%17
Destruction46.1%5622.0%05

Faction Stats

The below stat show the results for those factions represented by 5 armies or more only.

FactionWin RateArmies% Share of Armies5-0 Wins0-5 Losses
Seraphon66.2%132.27%31
Legion of the First Prince65.0%81.40%00
Maggotkin of Nurgle58.6%213.67%20
Idoneth Deepkin58.5%111.92%10
Soulblight Gravelords57.7%132.27%10
Cities of Sigmar57.0%101.75%20
Daughters of Khaine56.4%142.45%01
Lumineth Realm-Lords52.1%101.75%00
Ironjawz50.8%132.27%00
Sons of Behemat48.5%142.45%01
Ogor Mawtribes47.2%111.92%00
Nighthaunt46.7%213.67%02
Stormcast Eternals45.0%437.52%03
Kruleboyz44.3%111.92%01
Sylvaneth40.0%50.87%01
Hedonites of Slaanesh38.3%61.05%00
Skaventide37.9%71.22%00
Fyreslayers34.4%91.57%01
Ossiarch Bonereapers31.1%111.92%01
Gloomspite Gitz30.0%61.05%01

Despite Nighthaunt and Daughters of Khaine being released now for a couple of weeks, we still see Seraphon, Legion of the First Prince and Maggotkin of Nurgle topping the win rates. On top of that Seraphon managed to grab three 5-0 results this week.

As a rough guide factions should have win rates of between 45-55% to ensure the game is roughly balance (true balance being impossible). The above shows that 7 factions have exceeded this band (including the new Daughters of Khaine) with Seraphon and Legion of the First Prince have exceeded the 60% win rate barrier. There are also seven factions below this ideal range, including one of the new battletomes for 3rd Edition (Fyreslayers). While Stormcast Eternals have a win rate of 45% we have to bear in mind that this is the most popular faction and is often the ones new players use when first playing Age of Sigmar, so the range of skill of the players inside this faction will vary widely, while many of the other faction will have a dedicated fan base or have tournament players looking for a faction that provides them the best chance at good results.

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Subfaction Stats

The below stat show the results for those subfactions represented by 5 armies or more only.

FactionSubfactionWin RateArmies5-0 Wins0-5 Losses
SeraphonThunder Lizard67.3%1121
Maggotkin of NurgleDrowned Men65.5%1110
Legion of the First Prince65.0%800
Lumineth Realm-LordsZaitrec60.9%500
Idoneth DeepkinNautilar58.6%600
Cities of SigmarLiving City58.3%620
NighthauntScarlet Doom54.3%700
Daughters of KhaineZainthar Kai54.3%700
Soulblight GravelordsVyrkos Dynasty53.3%600
Sons of BehematBreaker Tribe53.1%1000
Stormcast EternalsAstral Templars50.0%600
Stormcast EternalsHammers of Sigmar49.1%2301
IronjawzBloodtoofs44.2%900
KruleboyzBig Yellers43.4%801
Hedonites of SlaaneshLurid Haze42.0%500
NighthauntEmerald Host41.5%1302
FyreslayersGreyfyrd38.6%700
Skaventide37.9%700
Stormcast EternalsHallowed Knights35.6%901
Ossiarch BonereapersPetrifex Elite32.3%1001
Gloomspite Gitz24.0%501

The faction stats are pretty much replicated above with Lumineth Realm-Lords/Zaitrec joining the +60% club this week. Meanwhile despite Anthony Trentanelli’s heroics with Skaven recently (claiming two GT’s and going 4-1 this week) they still sit below 45% with a miserable 37.9% win rate. Will their new battletome and the Generals Handbook see a change in this though? A new tome can’t come soon enough for Gloomspite Gitz and Ossiarch Bonereapers….

AoS Death Stats – May

Following on from yesterday’s article about the Chaos Stats, today we have Death.

Faction Stats – Match Win Rates

Poor month for Death sees the highest win rate for any faction at 50.26% for SBGL, followed closely by Nighthaunt on 50.00%. This isn’t a bad thing though as it suggests these two factions are possibly fairly balanced (or have good pilots).

Subfaction Win Rates

These are the subfactions ranked by their win rates. Only armies that have been represented five times or more have been included.

FactionSubfactionWin Rate# of Players
Flesh-eater CourtsBlisterskin56.67%6
Soulblight GravelordsVyrkos Dynasty52.67%15
Soulblight GravelordsKastelai Dynasty50.60%17
NighthauntThe Emerald Host50.00%8
NighthauntReikenor’s Comdemned50.00%6
Ossiarch BonereapersPetrifex Elite48.44%7
Ossiarch BonereapersMortis Praetorians38.00%5

Subfactions Not Represented

The below list shows factions who were completely overlooked in the month of May and not represented at any GT.

FactionSubfaction
Ossiarch BonereapersStalliarch Lords
Ossiarch BonereapersIvory Host
Ossiarch BonereapersNull Myriad
Flesh-eater CourtsHollowmourne
Flesh-eater CourtsGristlegore
Soulblight GravelordsAvengorii Dynasty

AoS Chaos Stats – May

Following on from yesterday’s article about the Grand Alliance stats for May, I bring you the first of the Alliance ‘dives’. Where better to start than the main baddies themselves, Chaos?

Faction Stats – Match Win Rates

I bet you all thought Maggotkin and Legion would be leading this table didn’t you? Well you’re half right. But the recent results which saw Trentanelli take two GT’s using Skaven (an under used faction) has seen them climb to 2nd here. With win rates of 63.83% and 62.00% they are two of three factions that have rates that exceed the ‘balanced range’.

Many players state that for the game to be balanced, then all factions are required to have a win rate of between 45-55%. Legion and Skaven both vastly exceed that range this month. While Nurgle only just creep over at 55.29%. be aware though, that this is the faction as a whole, there are subfactions within Nurgle and others that both exceed this range and fall below this range.

Subfaction Win Rates

These are the subfactions ranked by their win rates. Only armies that have been represented five times or more have been included.

FactionSubfactionWin Rate# of Players
Maggotkin of NurgleDrowned Men64.29%21
Legion of the First Prince 63.83%19
Skaventide62.00%10
Blades of KhorneReapers of Vengeance54.35%5
Maggotkin of NurgleBefouling Host53.18%22
Beasts of ChaosGavespawn50.00%14
Maggotkin of NurgleBlessed Sons46.00%5
Maggotkin of NurgleDroning Guard38.33%6

Subfactions Not Represented

The below list shows factions who were completely overlooked in the month of May and not represented at any GT.

FactionSubfaction
Slaves to DarknessRavagers
Slaves to DarknessCabalists
Slaves to DarknessIdolators
Blades of KhorneGoretide
Blades of KhorneSkullfiend Tribe
Maggotkin of NurgleFilthbringers
Hedonites of SlaaneshInvaders
Hedonites of SlaaneshScarlet Cavalcade
Disciples of TzeentchHosts Duplicitous
Disciples of TzeentchCult of the Transient Form
Disciples of TzeentchPyrofane Cult

AoS Grand Alliance Stats – May

We have previously produced stats back in January and February, but have not done these for a little while. This was mainly because of the amount of work needed to keep up with all the one and two day events. On top of this, I wasn’t overly happy with the presentation standard.

I’ve since regrouped and worked on a way of producing these that is less time heavy and in a way that’s appealing. Going forwards (and possibly backwards over missed months), I will only produce stats that we have written a Top Three Lists article on. This saves me trawling through Best Coast Pairing and Tabletop.to for every event with more than 10 players! As we’re hoping to cover all GT’s going forward we should still have a reasonable snap shot of the meta for that month

That all being said, I’m starting this month’s stats with the win rate for the various Grand Alliance’s. This is the combined win rate of all that Alliance’s battletomes:

There are a few other stats included above as well. For example the number of armies from each GA and what that represents as a percentage of the total field for the month. We also have included how many battletomes each Alliance has, how many 5/0/0 results they’ve claimed, how many results with 4 wins or more and how many results where an army fought an entire GT without a win.

Player Distribution among Alliances

Firstly, with representation we have 25 Battletomes (Inc Bel’akor) across 4 Grand Alliance’s. So in theory, for an even mix of armies each Battletome should have a representative figure of 4.16% or 22 armies per Battletome (550 Armies / 24 Battletomes).

Grand AllianceBattletomesArmies per Battletome
Destruction427
Order 926
Death420
Chaos7 +Bel’akor17

In an ideal world the Battletomes would have a fair split of the armies. However, here we can see that Order and Destruction have more players than you would expect while both Death and Chaos have less.

5 Wins

There have been a total of 18 results where players have gone to claim 5 wins over a tournament. In theory each army should have an equal chance of achieving this. Meaning based on the actual number of armies each faction was represented by you would expect:

Grand AllianceSplit of 5-0’s based on # of ArmiesActual # of 5-0 Wins
Chaos410
Order87
Death31
Destruction30

This shows it’s probably easiest to get that elusive 5-0 with a Chaos faction than it is any other. While, trying to achieve this with Death or Destruction is difficult.

4+ Wins

Likewise there were a total of 93 results where players claimed 4 wins or more over the weekend. Using the same math based on how many armies represented each Alliance:

Grand AllianceSplit of 4+ Wins based on army distributionActual 4+ Wins
Order3940
Chaos2223
Death1414
Destruction1816

Surprisingly this shows that each Grand Alliance is roughly meeting it’s quota on 4+ wins based on the number of armies they had present. This initially suggests that each faction has an equal chance of getting 4+ wins.

But we’d need to look at the factions individually to check whether this is the case…

…which funnily enough, we’ll be doing tomorrow!

Keeping up with the…. AoS Meta

Odd title right?

Hear me out, we’ve been discussing as a team a series of articles around each faction. These would give hints and tips on perhaps the best way to tackle those factions as well as giving a rough guide as to unit priority mid battle.

The first article is likely to be based on Nurgle as they’re the current ‘Faction to beat’ and make up a vast number of the tournament armies.

This will be followed most likely by Seraphon.

However, what we want to know is what else do you want to see in these articles? Why not drop us a comment below and let us know.