We’ve updated the method of calculating the Elo ratings into our Age of Sigmar stats, this includes an attempt to reflect both the tournament strength and the faction strength.

All of the results in this article are taken from Best Coast Pairings, Stats and Ladders, Ecksen, New Recruit, Tourneykeeper, Milarki and Longshanks. They include GT (Two day events) or GT+ (6 or more rounds) only.

For patrons, you’ll be able to download and play with the database as well (which includes all the lists) as reading this weeks Patreon only analysis of Seraphon.

As always, if you’re struggling to read a chart, you should be able to right click and then either view or download the image.

Tournaments Included (Using December Battlescroll)

Date	Event	Players	1st	2nd	3rd	WC
10 May 25	Kingdom in Flames – Chapter III (GBR)	10	FEC	GG	IDK
10 May 25	Carnage Singles 2025 (GBR)	56	MON	FEC	KBZ
10 May 25	Richmond Reroll GT III (CAN)	26	SKA	DOK	SYL
3 May 25	Realmgate Rebellion GT 6 (GBR)	8	SKA	OBR	SCE
3 May 25	Mercia Madness II (GBR)	14	FEC	SOB	SOB	SCE
3 May 25	Rumbo al Munial 2025 (BOL)	7	SCE	SER	FYR
3 May 25	Turbulent Games (USA)	17	DOK	SOB	IJZ
3 May 25	Slumber Party 2025 (AUS)	42	SYL	LRL	FEC
3 May 25	Shirecon 2025 (AUS)	34	BOK	KBZ	GG
3 May 25	Tabletop Renaissance (CAN)	12	SOB	FYR	SER
3 May 25	Richmond Open (USA)	32	SCE	SKA	SOB
3 May 25	AoS Onslaught 2025 (CAN)	22	IDK	KBZ	BOK
3 May 25	Mowan Spring Championship (CHN)	12	FYR	SKA	SCE
30 Apr 25	AoS Worlds: Singles (AUT)	113	LRL	S2D	GG	NH
26 Apr 25	Lancashire Legion GT (GBR)	16	FYR	FYR	S2D
26 Apr 25	Ironman Challenge (SWE)	10	MON	SER	SKA
26 Apr 25	Australian Age of Sigmar Masters (AUS)	16	SOB	SER	IJZ
26 Apr 25	AoS @ Valleycon 2025 (NZL)	28	SCE	DOK	SKA
26 Apr 25	Loonshrine: Remix Finál Ignition (MEX)	30	KBZ	BOK	SCE
26 Apr 25	Age of Sigmar Warpstone Wars GT 2025 (USA)	28	SER	DOT	IDK
26 Apr 25	Palladium Games Age of Sigmar GT (USA)	16	SYL	SOB	SKA	SCE
26 Apr 25	Iron Brawl GT Presented by Boss Hogs (USA)	25	MON	FEC	SKA
26 Apr 25	Dwellers Below AoS GT (CAN)	14	HOS	KBZ	SER	BOC
26 Apr 25	Wardome AOS (USA)	21	MON	SCE	SYL	IJZ
26 Apr 25	Trash Clash in the Bluegrass (USA)	28	SOB	IDK	KBZ	KO
26 Apr 25	PubHammer Open 3 (GBR)	16	SER	S2D	SYL	SKA
26 Apr 25	Nidaros Grand Tournament ’25 (NOR)	38	SYL	SCE	S2D
26 Apr 25	13. Nordhammer (SWE)	8	IDK	SER	SCE	SOB
26 Apr 25	Slambo for a Cause Grand Tournament (USA)	40	SBGL	S2D	LRL	OM
26 Apr 25	Regne Mortal: AOS (ESP)	14	SOB	SBGL	IJZ	LRL
19 Apr 25	Wet Coast GT (USA)	33	DOT	SER	IDK	DOK
12 Apr 25	Battle to End Alzheimers (USA)	28	DOT	DOK	SYL	SCE
12 Apr 25	Highground Brewsky GT (USA)	61	SCE	BOK	SER	OBR
12 Apr 25	Rose City Rampage 2 (USA)	33	SYL	DOT	STD	SER
12 Apr 25	Hampshire Grand Tournament (GBR)	56	IDK	DOT	SOB	OM
12 Apr 25	Lost Legion – Battle of the Bay (AUS)	44	SER	SER	IJ	DOK
12 Apr 25	Exploding Dice Spring GT (GBR)	20	OBR	SOB	LRL	KBZ
12 Apr 25	Kingdom in Flames – Chapter II (GBR)	20	SYL	STD	GSG	DOK
12 Apr 25	Fields of Slaughter Spring GT (GBR)	16	IJZ	IDK	FEC	MON
12 Apr 25	Storm of Corruption (GBR)	16	LRL	SCE	LRL	BSP
12 Apr 25	Battle Ready Games AOS 2k GT (CAN)	14	HOS	IDK	KBZ	BOC
05 Apr 25	Pizza Brawl Spring Edition (SWE)	17	SKA	SBGL	MON	DOT
05 Apr 25	Age of Slaughter : Skaventide (CHI)	22	FEC	STD	BOK	HOS
xxxxxxxxxx	xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx	xxxxxxxx	xxxxx	xxxxx	xxxxx	xxxxx

GT Win Rates

Neil Addleman: With over 400 games played last weekend, I wanted to look at factions that shifted instead of just going over the overall meta again. There were 9 factions that had their win rate shifted more than 1%, with 4 going up and 4 going down.

Of the ones who went up, two still have just barely over 100 games played and are incredibly volatile because of it.
Kharadron Overlords saw some good success with a 4-1 and a 3-2 over the weekend, which caused it’s win rate to go from 47.31% to 49.07%, but with only 108 total games played this battlescroll. Of the two Kharadron 4-1’s so far, there were two Ironclads and two frigates between them, so at least we are seeing good boat variety.
While Daughters of Khaine had two 4-1’s over the weekend at the same event! Both elf lists with Krethusa and a Cauldron, which seems to be the version of Daughters with the most success seeing as how Krethusa has a win rate of 66% as opposed to Blood Sisters being at 50% win rate. Their overall win rate went from 51.55% to 54.21% but still only at 107 games total.

Gloomspite Gitz saw their win rate increase from 42.00% to 43.77%, most likely due to people still figuring out what works in the new tome and the Troggoth changes. While Sylvaneth saw an increase after two 4-1’s using two Belthanos/Kurnoth/Warsong lists, one with Alarielle and one with more bodies.

Five factions saw their win rate drop more than 1% after the weekend; Ossiarch Bonereapers, Lumineth Realmlords, Disciples of Tzeentch, Kruleboyz, and Stormcast Eternals. Of the 5 that dropped, 3 were and still are above 50%.

Lumineth was most likely propped up by a decent worlds singles appearance, followed by less experienced players trying to mimic that success. 5 players went a combined 18.5-11.5 (61.67% win rate) at worlds, and since then, 9 players went a combined 17-28 (37.78% win rate). Their win rate went from 54.6% to 52.6%. While Tzeentch only had a single player who went 1-4 and still only has 115 games so far, causing a larger win rate shift than you’d expect from 1 result.

Stormcast has an extremely large player base, so even though their win rate dropped from 52.45% to 51.16%, it is harder to dissect their results. Plenty of different lists, skill levels, etc. influence their win rates, and it would be normal to see it shift up and down week to week.
For the 2 factions that are sub-50% win rate and saw their win rate lower this week, it’s a matter of armies needing help while still having random decent results. Ossiarch saw some nerfs earlier in the edition which restricted good list building options, and Kruleboyz have struggled since their tome came out and while they’ve had some random 4-1’s and even a 5-0 those brave players can’t prop up the win rate forever.

Estimated Win Rates if the Player Skill Levels were Equal

That’s a mouthful of title isn’t it!?

Essentially, what I’m trying to do here is work out what the win rates would be if the skill levels of all the players were the same (Yes, I realise this is nearly impossible to calculate – But I’m playing around here).

How it works is by calculating the average Elo of all the players that have had matches since the April battlescroll dropped. This worked out as 441.8. I then calculated how much difference there was between a factions average Elo shown in our original win rate graph to this overall average. The difference between these two figures was then turned into a percentage difference over/under the 441.8 elo. I then increased or decreased their win rate by this percentage (But this isn’t as simple as deducting or adding the percentage different to the win rate – you have to work out for instance what 4% may be of say 53% and then apply that. For Example – 10% of 40% is 4%)

Battle Formation GT Win Rates

This data is calculated in the same way as the win rates for factions.

Faction Popularity (Broken Down by Player Elo Rating)

This is perhaps the most interesting chart to me personally. Here you can see the spread of the player skill levels for each faction according to our Elo rating system (updated each week in line with the Age of Sigmar stats).

The dark blue shows the really elite players of 700+ Elo. Interestingly, they don’t seem to give a damn about which faction is performing well in the meta and rely on their own skill (as they should!). Neither to 600-699 rated players. Where we start to see the swell in players possibly chasing the factions with more favourable rules is in players rated less than 600 Elo.

Elite and Rookie Players by Faction

The blue section shows the percentage of a factions players which have an Elo rating of 500 or greater. While the Orange shows the number of new players to the faction where they have yet to attend a tournament (based on our database history).

The Fabien Chart

Fabien Barbusse is a top player in the AoS scene and a member of the Woehammer Discord who is one of many who points out any mistakes in the charts before we publish them. He stated he felt the most valuable chart would be a version of the one above, which shows the % of 4+ win results in a 5 game event compared to the other results.

% of Players with a Positive GT Result

Ideally you would want 50% of the players having a positive results for a truly balanced game system.

Consecutive Wins

This chart shows firstly the % of players with a negative result from 5 games at GT’s or GT+ in purple for each faction.

Dark blue shows the percentage of players who achieved 5 wins from 5 in the first five rounds of a GT or GT+.

Orange shows the players who achieved four wins from the first four rounds of a GT or GT+ but were unable to achieve the full house and lost their round 5 match.

Green shows the players who achieved three wins from three wins but were unable to win in their fourth round match.

Light blue shows all other players aside from those shown in the first three categories, who were able to achieve a positive result at a GT or GT+ i.e. 3 or more wins.

For those of you who are counted among our legendary Patreons, you can download the stats database below which now includes warscroll win rates and lists.

On top of this there is some added extras in the form of a faction dive into Seraphon.

You can become a Patreon of Woehammer for as little as £2 a month!

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Sons of Behemat Deep Dive

Battle Formations

Battle Formation	Success Rate
Soul-raid Ambushers	15 Games – 67% Success
Isharann Council	5 Games – 60% Success
Akhelian Beastmasters	178 Games – 55% Success

Neil Addleman: Gargants are sitting a little too comfortable at a 56% win rate currently. Son’s being good can sometimes be a contentious thing due to their unique playstyle of being a damage check army (just sitting on objectives). With almost a quarter of their players going 4-1 or better, it’s worth taking a look at what is and isn’t working for them.

Of the 12 players who went 4-1 or higher, a staggering 10 of them went 3-0 day 1. Considering that only 4 of those players won their round 4, and only 2 of those 4 won their round 5 matchup, it would hint that in the beginning rounds where they are facing a multitude of armies, they thrive but against the top armies and players you see day 2 they are much worse off. Which somewhat reinforces their reputation as a gatekeeping type army.
When looking at using the Army of Renown and normal battle formations, Brodd’s Stomp only has about 20% usage and has a lower win rate than the two most popular regular formations (Breaker Tribe and Taker Tribe). Brodd’s stomp is sitting at 54% win rate while Taker Tribe is at 55% and Breaker Tribe at 56.5%.
In terms of units, King Brodd himself is taken in a large majority of lists, showing up in 81% of games. The other named hero available, Kragnos, only shows up in 25% of lists while having an identical (55%) win rate to Brodd.

Three of the five other big gargants are taken more than a third of the time; Gatebreaker, Warstomper, and Beast -smasher have 71%, 47%, and 60% usage respectively. Of the three, Warstomper sees the most success at 57% win rate.
For the other 2, even though their usage is less, their win rate is actually higher than the more common 3. Gatebreaker has a 60% win rate, even though the usage is at only 32%. The Kraken-eater is at a whopping 66% win rate with only 18% usage! It’s always good to see off-meta choices do well.

With all being above 50% win rate though, you can’t go wrong with bringing a big boy to the table. Where there does seem to be struggles is the much smaller Mancrusher Gargant. Both as a single and as a mob, their win rates are each at 47% even though the single mancrusher was in 47% of lists. While it can be battleplan dependent, it still looks like all bigs is the biggest key to success with this army.

Warscroll Win Rates

Top Unit Win Rates

Warscroll	Success Rate
Kraken-eater Mega-Gargant	45 Games – 66% Win Rate
Gatebreaker Mega-Gargant	83 Games – 60% Win Rate
Warstomeper Mega-Gargant	179 Games – 57% Win Rate
King Brodd	204 Games – 55% Win Rate
Kragnos	62 Games – 55% Win Rate

Units to Avoid

Normally I would list units that have a win rate of 45% or less in this section, but Idoneth are so good, they have none!

Artefacts of Power

Artefact of Power	Success Rate
Mantle of Tusk and Horns	10 Games – 80% Win Rate
Kingslaughter Cowl	5 Games – 80% Win Rate
Amberbone Totem	10 Games – 60% Win Rate
Extra-Calloused Feet	121 Games – 55% Win Rate
Glowy Lantern	30 Games – 52% Win Rate

Heroic Traits

Warscroll	Success Rate
Monstrously Tough	147 Games – 55% Win Rate
Furious Temper	39 Games – 55% Win Rate

Battle Plans

Battle Plan	Faction Success Rate
Shifting Objectives	14 Games – 71% Success
Feral Foray	15 Games – 67% Success
Scorched Earth	12 Games – 67% Success
Limited Resources	8 Games – 63% Success
Border War	14 Games – 61% Success
Starstrike	7 Games – 57% Success
Better Part of Valour	7 Games – 57% Success
The Jaws of Gallet	18 Games – 56% Success
The Vice	9 Games – 56% Success
Battle for the Pass	11 Games – 45% Success
Focal Points	19 Games – 42% Success
Close to the Chest	17 Games – 29% Success

Woehammer Database

To download out Age of Sigmar stats database, click on the button below.

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