We’ve updated the method of calculating the Elo ratings into our Age of Sigmar stats, this includes an attempt to reflect both the tournament strength and the faction strength.
All of the results in this article are taken from Best Coast Pairings, , Ecksen, New Recruit, ChampionshipHub, Milarki, Mini Headquarters, Tabletop Herald and Longshanks. They include GT (Two day events) or GT+ (6 or more rounds) only.
For patrons, you’ll be able to download and play with the database as well (which includes all the lists and stats for all the factions) as reading this weeks Patreon only analysis of Seraphon.
As always, if you’re struggling to read a chart, you should be able to right click and then either view or download the image.
Tournaments Included (Using September Battlescroll)
- [AO!D] All Out! Davao!
- 2. Dresdner Festspiele (in AoS)
- 2025 South China Autumn Championship
- 2025 World Championships of Warhammer
- 2D6 Carnage
- Age of Sigmar Badmoon Rising GT 2025
- Age of Sigmar Doom Fire
- Age of Sigmar Medellin Grand Open
- All-Realm Battlemania XXXIX Deluxe
- Amulet D20 Grand Tournament 2025
- AOS 1vs1 – La conquête de Ghyran
- AOS Aarhus Open
- BadAss Bockbier Season Opening GT
- Barfight GT
- Batalha de Corvos XX
- Battle of the Bend 2025
- Battle Rage Ballerup 2025
- Bendigo’s Bush Bash Bonanza 2025
- Bloomington Brewhammer at Upland Brewing
- Boltercon 2025: Age of Sigmar GT
- Boo-grass Brawl GT – Actual Trash Wargaming
- Bread or Dead 2025 – Fresh Out the Oven
- Castle Banger Turniej Klasy Master w Warszawie
- DaBoyz GT Rochester 2025 AoS 1v1
- DragonFall 2025
- Elbcoast Cup 19 Age of Sigmar
- End Times Grand Tournament 2-25
- Farmhammer @Brewdog
- GAF Jamboree Volume 4
- Geekfest -Arc’s of Fire- Age of Sigmar
- Grudgefest GT 2025
- GT Huertano Individual III
- I GT Malaka en Guerra
- II GT Zaragoza: Puño de Sigmar
- K/Qota S9 E4
- Kippers’ Melee – 2025 Age of Sigmar
- LVO XII Warhammer Age of Sigmar Champs
- MAW Tribe Telarah Takedown 2025
- Mektoberfest AoS GT
- Mercia Madness III
- Michigan GT 2025
- Might of the Righteous 2025 Age of Sigmar
- New York Open 4: Age of Sigmar Grand Tournament
- Nyköping Wargaming – War of the Osprey 2025
- Oklahoma Open – Age of Sigmar Grand Tournament
- Paragon City Games Presents: 2025 AoS Store Championship
- Paris Wargame Expo – Warhammer AoS – Solo
- PubHammer Open 4
- Raccoon Rumble 2025
- Realm of Geddon Borås spelkonvent 2025
- Realm Wars
- Realmgate Rebellion 14
- River City Rumble
- Rose City Rampage 3: Rex Marks the Spot
- SAGT 2025
- Season of War GT II
- Show Me Showdown Age of Sigmar Championships
- Southeastern Slaughter Battles and BBQ
- Storm of Sigmar
- Sugar & Dice Annual Age of Sigmar Tournament 2025
- Sydney Grand Tournament 2025
- The Great Mawpit Cookout
- The Poisoned Dice
- Threshold Tactics Invitational X
- Turnaj Tří
- Vault Wars 2025
- Well of Mayhem #4 Grand Tournament
We have chosen not to include the following events:
- Lamoine Last Stand IX (Due to having optional draw rounds)
- III GT De Sevilla (Team Event)
- LVO XII Warhammer Age of Sigmar Champs Round 6-8 (Due to only being available to the top 8)
- Season of War GT II (Anything played after Round 5 – due to only a few players taking part)
- The Hogtowner (Primarily a narrative event with bespoke battleplans)
SOURCES
Best coast Pairings – 56 Events (1,770 Players)
Tabeltop Herald – 2 Events (227 Players)
Milarki – 6 Events (110 Players)
Championshub.app – 2 Events (91 Players)
MiniHeadQuarters – 1 Event (55 Players)
Ecksen – 1 Event (24 Players)
GT Win Rates
As always, these are global stats from various sources around the internet.
Faction Win Rates over the Last 4 Weeks
This covers the period from 25th October to 16th November 2025.
Estimated Win Rates if the Player Skill Levels were Equal
That’s a mouthful of title isn’t it!?
Essentially, what I’m trying to do here is work out what the win rates would be if the skill levels of all the players were the same (Yes, I realise this is nearly impossible to calculate – But I’m playing around here).
How it works is by calculating the average Elo of all the players that have had matches since the September battlescroll dropped. This worked out as 436.6. I then calculated how much difference there was between a factions average Elo shown in our original win rate graph to this overall average. The difference between these two figures was then turned into a percentage difference over/under the 436.6 elo. I then increased or decreased their win rate by this percentage (But this isn’t as simple as deducting or adding the percentage different to the win rate – you have to work out for instance what 4% may be of say 53% and then apply that. For Example – 10% of 40% is 4%)
Battle Formation GT Win Rates
This data is calculated in the same way as the win rates for factions. This only shows data for subfactions that have reached 100 games played since the battlescroll dropped.
Faction Popularity (Broken Down by Player Elo Rating)
This is perhaps the most interesting chart to me personally. Here you can see the spread of the player skill levels for each faction according to our Elo rating system (updated each week in line with the Age of Sigmar stats).
The dark blue shows the really elite players of 700+ Elo. Interestingly, they don’t seem to give a damn about which faction is performing well in the meta and rely on their own skill (as they should!). Neither to 600-699 rated players. Where we start to see the swell in players possibly chasing the factions with more favourable rules is in players rated less than 600 Elo.
To make it a bit easier to see the effect of higher skilled players, I’ve added the below chart this week which breaks down each factions player base as a percentage.
Elite and Rookie Players by Faction
The blue section shows the percentage of a factions players which have an Elo rating of 500 or greater. While the Orange shows the number of new players to the faction where they have yet to attend a tournament (based on our database history).
The Fabien Chart
Fabien Barbusse is a top player in the AoS scene and a member of the Woehammer Discord who is one of many who points out any mistakes in the charts before we publish them. He stated he felt the most valuable chart would be a version of the one above, which shows the % of 4+ win results in a 5 game event compared to the other results.
% of Players with a Positive GT Result
Ideally you would want 50% of the players having a positive results for a truly balanced game system.
Consecutive Wins
This chart shows firstly the % of players with a negative result from 5 games at GT’s or GT+ in purple for each faction.
Dark blue shows the percentage of players who achieved 5 wins from 5 in the first five rounds of a GT or GT+.
Orange shows the players who achieved four wins from the first four rounds of a GT or GT+ but were unable to achieve the full house and lost their round 5 match.
Green shows the players who achieved three wins from three wins but were unable to win in their fourth round match.
Light blue shows all other players aside from those shown in the first three categories, who were able to achieve a positive result at a GT or GT+ i.e. 3 or more wins.
Battle Tactic Win Rates
This table shows the most popular battle tactic pairings for each faction.
Battleplan Win Rates
For those of you who are counted among our legendary Patreons, you can download the stats database below which now includes warscroll win rates and lists.
On top of this there is some added extras in the form of a faction dive into Seraphon.
You can become a Patreon of Woehammer for as little as £2 a month!
Woehammer Database
To download out Age of Sigmar stats database, click on the button below.
