We’ve incorporated player Elo ratings into our Age of Sigmar stats, so you can now see what affect the elite players have on those pesky win rates.

All of the results in this article are taken from Best Coast Pairings, Stats and Ladders and Ecksen. They include GT (Two day events) or GT+ (6 or more rounds) only.

As always, if you’re struggling to read a chart, you should be able to right click and then either view or download the image.

Tournaments Included (Using December Battlescroll)

• 2D6 OsloHammer #9 X-Mas!
• Age of Sigmar Grand Tournament – “Troll Bowl I”
• Age of Sigmar Grand Tournament @XPG
• Akron Brew Brawl-AoS GT
• AoS Singles Grand Clash 2025
• AoS Tournament 2000pts, 1st & 2nd March – The Bristol CT
• AoS World Pass
• Battle for GreenHollow GT AOS
• Bayern Major #1 2025 AoS
• Cake or Death 2025 – The Cakeful Dead
• Call to Glory 2025
• CaptainCon AoS Event Hosted by Away Games
• Cascade Clash AoS GT
• Cataclysmic Age of Sigmar Grand Tournament Q1
• Clash of Clans 5
• Columbus Brewhammer ’25
• Crossroads Carnage – LVCan’tgO
• DaBoyz GT Golden Sprue 2025
• Dice of Destiny GT 2025
• Everwinter: Age of Sigmar Grand Tournament
• Final Equipos CNDKHM AoS
• FLG Cherokee Open 2025
• Games and Stuff AoS Event Hosted by Away Games
• Gasts Hjaltar
• Geekfest – Winter War Zone – Age of Sigmar
• Gods of War V
• Golden Potato Cup 3
• GT El Mago Demente
• Hamburg Major 2025
• Haus of Heroes GT
• II GT PETREO (Memorial Enric Medina)
• IV GT Talavera AoS
• LVO 2025 Age of Sigmar Champs
• Macao Sigmar Tournament
• Mardi Gras Achievements 2025
• Midwest Bash 2025 GT
• Norsehammer Lite
• North China Open IV
• Norwegian Masters 2024
• NPO – Saint of Meow Meow Riverlands Meowdown
• Old Man Gaming Open 2025
• Partisan Games AOS GT 15th/16th February 2025
• Portal Invernal 2025
• PrleÅ¡ki Hammer 4th edition
• Prova
• Realm of Geddon 2025
• Realmshift 2025
• Richmond Reroll AoS GT II
• SEO 2024 – AoS Warhammer World Champs Qualifier
• Sheffield Slaughter 2025
• Sigmar Calls
• Southern Smash GT | Age of Sigmar
• The Big Bristol Brawl Winter GT
• The Forge GT: Year 2
• The Ides of March Age of Sigmar GT 2025
• The Lone Star Grand Tournament
• The Nottingham AoS GT
• The Tracksuit GT
• Threshold Invitational VII
• Trandermaster
• Wartilyo GT 2025
• Warzone Atlanta ’25: AoS GT
• Weekend Warlord 8 – Endless War
• Wheat City Open – Age of Sigmar GT
• Winter Castle Siege 2025

GT Win Rates

Interestingly, the dying faction of Beast of Chaos have the highest Elo average of all the factions currently playable in Age of Sigmar, this will primarily be because of experienced players having them in their collection and possibly trying to make the most out of them before they are no longer tournament legal.

Disregarding both Beasts of Chaos and Bonesplitterz, our Age of Sigmar stats currently has only three over achieving faction – Flesh-eater Courts with a win rate of 62% and Slaves to Darkness – that’s not bad. While at the other end of the table we’ve three factions under achieving when we include Big Waaagh! with them as the lowest at 33%. Ignoring Big Waaagh! who have extremely low representation, all of these factions are only a percentile percentile outside of the 45-55% green zone (balanced). Flesh-eater Courts have a slightly higher than average Elo rating for their players, which could be marginally inflating their win rates.

Estimated Win Rates if the Player Skill Levels were Equal

That’s a mouthful of title isn’t it!?

Essentially, what I’m trying to do here is work out what the win rates would be if the skill levels of all the players were the same (Yes, I realise this is nearly impossible to calculate – But I’m playing around here).

How it works is by calculating the average Elo of all the players that have had matches since the December battlescroll dropped. This worked out as 426.4. I then calculated how much difference there was between a factions average Elo shown in our original win rate graph to this overall average. The difference between these two figures was then turned into a percentage difference over/under the 426.4 elo. I then increased or decreased their win rate by this percentage (But this isn’t as simple as deducting or adding the percentage different to the win rate – you have to work out for instance what 4% may be of say 53% and then apply that. For Example – 10% of 40% is 4%)

The results suggest that perhaps Flesh-eater Courts and Slaves to Darkness may have an easier time of it than the other factions.

Battle Formation GT Win Rates

This chart only shows the Battle Formations that have achieved 100 games or more in GT play (the number of games shown in brackets).

Flesh-eater Courts have 750+ games in tournament play at GTs and we can see well over half of those games are under the Lords of the Manor (allowing an additional slain model to be returned to their unit on top of whatever the usual ability allows) battle formation. While it’s probably no surprise to many of you that Vanguard Wing for Stormcast Eternals is their top choice – allowing one Vanguard Chamber unit per turn that doesn’t move to teleport anywhere on the battlefield 9″ away from all enemy units on a dice roll of 3+. Sentinels of the Bleak Citadels is also a strong choice for Stormcast Eternal players allowing the players to pick one Ruination Chamber unit each turn to have Ward (5+) for that whole turn.

At the bottom of the table, Bacchanal of Blood isn’t too hot for the Soulblight Gravelords, though it is their most popular option – allowing them to add 1 to casting rolls for friendly Vampire units that are not in combat and adding 1 to wound rolls for combat attacks made by friendly Vampire units that charged in the same turn (see Blood Knights).

They’re by the Disciples of Tzeentch and the Wyrdflame Host (subtract 1 from wound rolls for attacks made by burning enemy units) and the Lumineth Realm-Lords and its Vanari Battlehost (The Lumineth player can use the ‘Power of Hysh‘ ability in addition to the other Facet of War ability used during the battle round).

Faction Popularity (Broken Down by Player Elo Rating)

This is perhaps the most interesting chart to me personally. Here you can see the spread of the player skill levels for each faction according to our Elo rating system (updated each week in line with the Age of Sigmar stats).

The dark blue shows the really elite players of 700+ Elo. Interestingly, they don’t seem to give a damn about which faction is performing well in the meta and rely on their own skill (as they should!). Neither to 600-699 rated players. Where we start to see the swell in players possibly chasing the factions with more favourable rules is in players rated less than 600 Elo.

Elite and Rookie Players by Faction

The blue section shows the percentage of a factions players which have an Elo rating of 500 or greater. While the Orange shows the number of new players to the faction where they have yet to attend a tournament (based on our database history).

As we can see, the player base for Beasts of Chaos is largely made up of Elite players, which is adding to their win rate in the charts at the beginning of this article.

Faction Win Rates for Players with sub-400 Elo

The aim of the above chart is to show how the lower rated players of between 300 and 399 elo are performing with the various factions. The figure in brackets denotes the number of games the data is based on.

Sons of Behemat seem to be the more forgiving faction to play in Age of Sigmar at the moment.

Faction Popularity (Broken Down by Number of Wins)

The above chart breaks down the faction popularity by the number of wins each player achieved in the first 5 rounds of games at GT’s or GT+’s.

This merely shows that Stormcast and Slaves are by far the most popular factions in the game at present.

Number of GT Wins as Percentage

This chart shows the % breakdown for the number of wins players are achieving in the first 5 rounds at GT and GT+ events.

The perfect split for each faction, if everything was perfectly balanced across factions would like:

The Fabien Chart

Fabien Barbusse is a top player in the AoS scene and a member of the Woehammer Discord who is one of many who points out any mistakes in the charts before we publish them. He stated he felt the most valuable chart would be a version of the one above, which shows the % of 4+ win results in a 5 game event compared to the other results.

Consecutive Wins

This chart shows firstly the % of players with a negative result from 5 games at GT’s or GT+ in light blue for each faction.

Dark blue shows the percentage of players who achieved 5 wins from 5 in the first five rounds of a GT or GT+.

Orange shows the players who achieved four wins from the first four rounds of a GT or GT+ but were unable to achieve the full house and lost their round 5 match.

Grey shows the players who achieved three wins from three wins but were unable to win in their fourth round match.

Yellow shows all other players aside from those shown in the first three categories, who were able to achieve a positive result at a GT or GT+ i.e. 3 or more wins.

The light blue shows the percentage of players unable to achieve a positive result with the faction at a GT or GT+.

Woehammer Database

To download out Age of Sigmar stats database, click on the button below.