A new edition calls for new stats, we’ve incorporated player Elo ratings into our stats, so you can now see what affect the elite players have on those pesky win rates.
All of the results in this article are taken from Best Coast Pairings, Stats and Ladders and Ecksen. They include GT (Two day events) or GT+ (6 or more rounds) only.
We’ve only included factions so far that have had at 20 players represent them at GT or GT+ events.
To date our database (which you can download at the end of this article), includes 3,428 matches for GT and GT+ events.
Tournaments Included
- Age of Ropecon 2024
- Age of Sigmar 4 Bootcamp 1
- Age of Sigmar Episode 4: Greytide
- Age of Sigmar Grand Tournament: Theatre of War
- Age of Sigmar Grand Tournament: US Open Tacoma (GT+)
- Age of Sigmar Grimnir’s Vengeance 2024
- Age of Sigmar: Quoth the Skaven
- Age of Sigmar: Throne of Skulls
- Bathurst GT 2024
- Border Wars 2024
- Crossroads Carnage 2024
- Feed the Horde
- Feud on the Fens 2024
- Fylleslaget 2024
- Galactic Age of Sigmar Store Championship
- Gateway Open
- GoldCon 2024
- Guts & Glory 2024
- Hereford Invitational ’24
- Justice Series World Championship Qualifier
- LSO Outlaw GT 2024
- Medhammer GT 2024 – Golden Dawn II
- Mile High Open 2024
- Nashcon GT 2024
- NI GT 2024
- North China Open III
- Old Town Roar in ’24
- Oslohammer #8
- Pizza Brawl 4.0 – Summer Edition 2024
- Saga Hammer
- Salt Lake Open
- Show Me Showdown
- Southern Fried Sigmar GT
- Tales in the Wood XI GT
- The Dojo Open GT
- Salt City GT
- Warrior Lodge – Summer Lodge 2024
- Thunderstrike GT II
- Vantastic GT
- AOS Saigon GT
GT Win Rates
We’ve only three factions not yet meeting the criteria for reliable data. With both Beasts of Chaos and Bonesplitterz both being expected. However, Kharadron Overlords are perhaps more of a suprise with only 78 GT games so far.
Nighthaunt‘s win rate has fallen since the 4th edition release and this would be expected with the number of players using the faction increasing week on week. However, they’re still sitting pretty on top of the pile at 63%.
Lumineth Realm-Lords are also a little too strong at 60%. Both Disciples of Tzeentch and Soulblight Gravelords are less of a concern, with both being only slightly beyond the green zone of 45-55%.
Perhaps a little worrying in the bottom ranked factions is Flesh-eater Courts who have generally a higher average of Elo for the players using them, yet a poor win rate at 41%. The same can be said for Khorne at 42% as well.
Faction Popularity (Broken Down by Player Elo Rating)
This is perhaps the most interesting chart to me personally. Here you can see the spread of the player skill levels for each faction according to our Elo rating system (updated each week in line with the stats).
The dark blue shows the really elite players of 700+ Elo. Interestingly, they don’t seem to give a damn about which faction is performing well in the meta and rely on their own skill (as they should!). Two of the players with 700+ Elo are playing Flesh-eater Courts, the faction with the lowest win rate currently. Two others are playing Skaven, the third worst win rate.
Both Nighthaunt and Lumineth have a larger number of 600+ rated players, and this in turn could be responsble in part for their stats being skewed.
A good example here, would be to cross examine the player Elo breakdown for Nighthaunt with their Win Rate. Nighthaunt have a win rate of 63%, however 23 players of the 93 that played them at events have an Elo rating of 500+
Elite and Rookie Players by Faction
The blue section shows the percentage of a factions players which have an Elo rating of 500 or greater. While the Orange shows the number of new players to the faction where they have yet to attend a tournament (based on our database history).
Faction Popularity (Broken Down by Number of Wins)
The above chart breaks down the faction popularity by the number of wins each player achieved at GT’s or GT+’s.
Number of GT Wins as Percentage
This chart shows the % breakdown for the number of wins players are achieving at GT and GT+ events.
Positive Player Results
The below chart shows how many players as a % finished a GT or GT+ with a positive result (more wins than loss’s).
Wanna win?! Play Bonesplitterz….
Consecutive Wins
This chart shows firstly the % of players with a negative result from 5 games at GT’s or GT+ in light blue for each faction.
Dark blue shows the percentage of players who achieved 5 wins from 5 in the first five rounds of a GT or GT+.
Orange shows the players who achieved four wins from the first four rounds of a GT or GT+ but were unable to achieve the full house and lost their round 5 match.
Grey shows the players who achieved three wins from three wins but were unable to win in their fourth round match.
Yellow shows all other players aside from those shown in the first three categories, who were able to achieve a positive result at a GT or GT+ i.e. 3 or more wins.
The light blue shows the percentage of players unable to achieve a positive result with the faction at a GT or GT+.
Woehammer Database
