A new edition calls for new stats, we’ve incorporated player Elo ratings into our stats, so you can now see what affect the elite players have on those pesky win rates.

All of the results in this article are taken from Best Coast Pairings, Stats and Ladders and Ecksen. They include GT (Two day events) or GT+ (6 or more rounds) only.

We’ve only included factions so far that have had at 20 players represent them at GT or GT+ events.

To date our database (which you can download at the end of this article), includes 12,675 matches for RTT, GT and GT+ events.

Tournaments Included (Using September Battlescroll)

• 1-Up WARtoberfest
• Age of Sigmar Bad Moon Rising GT 2024
• Age of Sigmar: Doom and Gloomspite
• Baltic Bash GT
• Bar Fight GT
• Bendigo’s Bush Bash Bonanza #BBBB
• End Times Grand Tournament 3
• Geekfest – Autumn – Age of Sigmar
• Miscast Misfits GT
• MOSSPIT 2024
• Palladium Games Age of Sigmar GT
• PDREX Presents Age of Sigmar: World REXposition at CRITCON
• Pubhammer Open
• The GAF Jamboree 2024
• The Green Knight – The Crusade GT

GT Win Rates

September 2024 Battlescroll

July 2024 Battlescroll

These are incredibly early days with the new Battlescroll. Only Skaven, Stormcast and Slaves have anywhere near the amount of data we’d like to see so far. But for those three factions they’re all within the 45-55% win rate zone, which is a good sign at least, with Skaven improving from 35% last battlescroll to 55% currently.

Faction Popularity (Broken Down by Player Elo Rating)

This is perhaps the most interesting chart to me personally. Here you can see the spread of the player skill levels for each faction according to our Elo rating system (updated each week in line with the stats).

The dark blue shows the really elite players of 700+ Elo. Interestingly, they don’t seem to give a damn about which faction is performing well in the meta and rely on their own skill (as they should!). Two of the players with 700+ Elo are playing Slaves to Darkness. While two others are split between Cities and Stormcast.

Elite and Rookie Players by Faction

The blue section shows the percentage of a factions players which have an Elo rating of 500 or greater. While the Orange shows the number of new players to the faction where they have yet to attend a tournament (based on our database history).

The aim of the above chart is to show how the lower rated players of between 300 and 399 elo are performing with the various factions. The figure in brackets denotes the number of games the data is based on. While last in the July Battlescroll Nighthaunt and Lumineth Realm-Lords were both at the top of the table, this Battlescroll we initially see Cities of Sigmar take over that role.

Faction Popularity (Broken Down by Number of Wins)

The above chart breaks down the faction popularity by the number of wins each player achieved in the first 5 rounds of games at GT’s or GT+’s.

Number of GT Wins as Percentage

This chart shows the % breakdown for the number of wins players are achieving in the first 5 rounds at GT and GT+ events.

The Fabien Chart

Fabien Barbusse is a top player in the AoS scene and a member of the Woehammer Discord who is one of many who points out any mistakes in the charts before we publish them. He recently stated he felt the most valuable chart would be a version of the one above, which shows the % of 4+ win results in a 5 game event compared to the other results.

Positive Player Results

The below chart shows how many players as a % finished a GT or GT+ with a positive result (more wins than losses).

Consecutive Wins

This chart shows firstly the % of players with a negative result from 5 games at GT’s or GT+ in light blue for each faction.

Dark blue shows the percentage of players who achieved 5 wins from 5 in the first five rounds of a GT or GT+.

Orange shows the players who achieved four wins from the first four rounds of a GT or GT+ but were unable to achieve the full house and lost their round 5 match.

Grey shows the players who achieved three wins from three wins but were unable to win in their fourth round match.

Yellow shows all other players aside from those shown in the first three categories, who were able to achieve a positive result at a GT or GT+ i.e. 3 or more wins.

The light blue shows the percentage of players unable to achieve a positive result with the faction at a GT or GT+.

Woehammer Database