A new edition calls for new stats, we’ve incorporated player Elo ratings into our stats, so you can now see what affect the elite players have on those pesky win rates.
All of the results in this article are taken from Best Coast Pairings, Stats and Ladders and Ecksen. They include GT (Two day events) or GT+ (6 or more rounds) only.
We’ve only included factions so far that have had at 20 players represent them at GT or GT+ events.
To date our database (which you can download at the end of this article), includes 1,228 matches for GT and GT+ events.
Tournaments Included
- Age of Ropecon 2024
- Age of Sigmar 4 Bootcamp 1
- Age of Sigmar Episode 4: Greytide
- Age of Sigmar Grand Tournament: Theatre of War
- Age of Sigmar Grand Tournament: US Open Tacoma (GT+)
- Age of Sigmar Grimnir’s Vengeance 2024
- Age of Sigmar: Quoth the Skaven
- Crossroads Carnage 2024
- Guts & Glory 2024
- Justice Series World Championship Qualifier
- LSO Outlaw GT 2024
- Pizza Brawl 4.0 – Summer Edition 2024
- Southern Fried Sigmar GT
- Thunderstrike GT II
- Vantastic GT
GT Win Rates

Nighthaunt are very strong right out of the gate with a 68% win rate. However, they’re player base is perhaps a little stronger when compared to the other factions such as Skaven and Stormcast. You can see this analysis in the next segment.
Likewise with Lumineth Realm-Lords and Soulblight Gravelords, a few 500+ Elo (including two 700+ rated for Lumineth) rated players are using this faction at tournaments in 4th, which would perhaps explain their inflated win rate.
Faction Popularity (Broken Down by Player Elo Rating)

I’ve cross-referenced the players that have taken part in GT’s with our Elo Rating we have for that player at the beginning of that tournament.
The purpose of this is to start to get an idea of which factions the high rated players are favouring. If a faction has both a high win rate and a large number of high rated players, this could show their affect on that factions win rate.
Skaven‘s player base is made up mostly of players ranked 499 or less with only 3 players rated at 500+. This would go someway to explaining their lower win rate.
A good example here, would be to cross examine the player Elo breakdown for Soulblight Gravelords with their Win Rate. Soulblight Gravelords have a win rate of 62%, however 10 players of the 22 that played them at events have an Elo rating of 500+
Faction Popularity (Broken Down by Number of Wins)

The above chart breaks down the faction popularity by the number of wins each player achieved at GT’s or GT+’s.
Interestingly, we talked earlier about how Skaven has mostly a lower rated player base, with 3 players rated 500+, have a look at the above and notice how many players managed 4 wins…
Positive Player Results
The below chart shows how many players as a % finished a GT or GT+ with a positive result (more wins than loss’s).

