If you follow the site, you’ll know that we do in-depth stats for Games Workshop’s Age of Sigmar system. We’ve also been tracking Old World stats at a very high level since it’s release. With the popularity of Old World as a tournament system, we’ve seen the number of events and games steadily increasing over the past year, so much so that we’ve reached a point where we can provide a little more detail into the figures that make up these win rates.
Firstly a disclaimer, these stats are based on events hosted on the website Best Coast Pairings, Stats & Ladders, and Ecksen. We do have plans to add further sites into the database in the future, and we are aware that T3 etc also have their own stats. Our advice is always to look at every source of statistics, this will give you a much more informed idea on the state of the game. Mistakes can be made, if they occur I will update the article as soon as I can with a note as to what has been changed.
The majority of our stats are taken from 2,000 point GT events where legacy factions have been allowed to take part. This is due to these being the most popular events in our database. If you wish to view the data, you can download the file at the end of this article.
Followers of Woehammer will be aware of our Elo ratings in Age of Sigmar, I have tracked these for Old World and do have the data, which is included in the matches tab on the file at the end of the document.
GT Win Rates
GT Win (2,000pts) Rates since 18th July FAQ
We’ve split out the various muster lists for factions that have already received their Arcane Journal. So for Dwarfen Mountain Holds, Kingdom of Bretonnia, Orc and Goblin Tribes, Tomb Kings of Khemri and Warriors of Chaos, you may see up to three different entries for each faction. Each of these are for the muster lists available to them, the Grand Army in the core Forces of Fantasy or Ravening Hordes books, then their two optional muster lists available inside the Arcane Journal. For simplicity we’ve cut any muster list that has less than 20 games on record at GTs.
The figure in brackets denotes the number of games where the Faction and Muster list have been used in a 2,000 point GT. Please note that mirror matches (i.e. Chaos Warriors v Chaos Warriors) have been excluded for the purpose of these statistics.
Faction/Muster List Popularity
The above shows the number of players that represented each combination of Faction and Muster Lists at 2,000 point GT events around the world.
Results Breakdown by % of Wins
The above shows the breakdown of the number of wins players finish with at 2,000 point GT with the given faction and muster list combination. The number in brackets denotes the number of games the faction and muster list combination was used at GT’s.
Once again, faction and muster list combinations with less than 20 games have been removed from this chart.
Faction % Race
Finally just for a bit of fun, the below bar chart race shows the faction % for the last 60 days at the date given at the bottom. This effectively shows the change over time.
The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.
All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.
How Win Rates are Calculated
All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).
Faction Win Rates
With our new data gathering system, we are able to draw data automatically from tournament organiser websites in the same manner that Games Workshop does. At the moment, we’ve drawn all the data for all Age of Sigmar events on Best Coast Pairings.
Stats and Ladders will be added later this week, along with TourneyKeeper. Further websites will also be added in the future.
All of this work has been carried out by the amazing Aida (thank you!).
When viewing our database, please be aware that we have removed all the player lists. We felt it unethical to publish these and allow people a way to circumnavigate BCPs income stream. If this upsets you, I apologise, but this will remain the case in the future.
However, if you do wish to see the lists. You can run this tool yourself from Github. To do so, you’ll need a Best Coast Pairings subscription and GPT credits.
Win Rates
It’s interesting to see such a difference between the GT results and RTT/Casual games.
For example, Hedonites of Slaanesh are shown with a win rate of 43% in the GT setting. However, when you look ar RTT/Casual results, this jumps to 54%.
Subfaction and Army of Renown Win Rates
Hopefully I’ll have the information ready for this next week.
Player Results by Wins
This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.
Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.
Remember, at present, this is Best Coast Pairings only.
Faction Popularity
The full list month-by-month is below:
When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta it may not be representative of your local meta.
We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals, thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.
Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from
Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.
Results Split
This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments.
Conclusions
If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.
Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;
Blades of Khorne
Seraphon
Stormcast Eternals
Soulblight Gravelords
Gloomspite Gitz
But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.
The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.
All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.
How Win Rates are Calculated
All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).
We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.
We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.
Event Submission
If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:
Two Day Event
Singles Event
Minimum of 8 players
Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.
Age of Sigmar Grand Tournament 2023 by Dragonforge & Wartilyo
2D6 Carnage
Sir GT’s-A-Lot
Coventry AoS GT
Farmhammer Brewdog
King Cheese GT
Flying Monkey Con 2023
TM Gaming
Wappler Harvest Gathering
Crucible 2023
North China Open
Mowan Autumn Championship 2023
AoS Champs at the 2023 Michigan GT
Sovereign Smash 2023
Symposium SELWG
Justice Series GT
Fantasia Fanatic XLIV AoS
GAF Jamboree
Suge & Dice Annual AoS Tournament
SoCal Open
Duckstravaganza 2: Battle for the Pond
I. Lay Low the Tyrants Grand Tournament
Malmo Wargaming Weekend 7
Realmgate Rumble
Grudgefest GT 2023
Tetsworth’s War and Treachery (T.W.A.T)
Magical Dominance Saigon Warhammer Age of Sigmar GT
Slambo GT
Realm of Geddon BSK 40
Threshold Invitational II
Battle of the Bend
PNW Masters 2023
Gitz go to War(fare) 2023
Faction Win Rates
As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.
Soulblight Gravelords and Ossiarch Bonereaper nerfs appear to have worked at first glance, but the Kharadron Overlords who were possibly being held back a little in the last battlescroll have probably benefitted from this power vacuum and find themselves in the top spot.
The Kruleboyz appear to have been put back in their box down at 44% .
Win Rates
You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll. The size of this segment is determined by the number of tournament entries using that faction, the spread of their win rates at competitions and finally how many weeks are estimated to be left until the next battlescroll update.
Using our old format of win rate reporting and removing factions with less than 20 results, we have the following table:
I thought it may be interesting to also view the win rates by month during the battlescroll. This may allow us to see the effect of new Ironjawz or the like on their particular faction. Or it may show whether armies with high win rates are being adapted to by their opposition.
Subfaction and Army of Renown Win Rates
We’ve started having subfactions hit the 20 player min representation, so have taken those factions for the chart above.
ARMIES OF RENOWN
I’ve decided to have a little chart recording their progress as the Battlescroll progresses, they may well track against their own faction as a whole, but I though it would be interesting to see nonetheless.
Player Results by Wins
This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.
Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.
Faction Popularity
The full list month-by-month is below:
When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta it may not be representative of your local meta.
We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals, thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.
Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from
Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.
Results Split
This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments.
Conclusions
If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.
Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;
Blades of Khorne
Seraphon
Stormcast Eternals
Soulblight Gravelords
Gloomspite Gitz
But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.
The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.
All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.
How Win Rates are Calculated
All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).
We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.
We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.
Event Submission
If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:
Two Day Event
Singles Event
Minimum of 8 players
Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.
Age of Sigmar Grand Tournament 2023 by Dragonforge & Wartilyo
King Cheese GT
Flying Monkey Con 2023
TM Gaming
Wappler Harvest Gathering
Crucible 2023
North China Open
Mowan Autumn Championship 2023
AoS Champs at the 2023 Michigan GT
Sovereign Smash 2023
Symposium SELWG
Justice Series GT
Fantasia Fanatic XLIV AoS
GAF Jamboree
Suge & Dice Annual AoS Tournament
SoCal Open
Duckstravaganza 2: Battle for the Pond
I. Lay Low the Tyrants Grand Tournament
Malmo Wargaming Weekend 7
Realmgate Rumble
Grudgefest GT 2023
Tetsworth’s War and Treachery (T.W.A.T)
Magical Dominance Saigon Warhammer Age of Sigmar GT
Slambo GT
Realm of Geddon BSK 40
Threshold Invitational II
Faction Win Rates
As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.
Soulblight Gravelords and Ossiarch Bonereaper nerfs appear to have worked at first glance, but the Kharadron Overlords who were possibly being held back a little in the last battlescroll have probably benefitted from this power vacuum and find themselves in the top spot.
The Kruleboyz appear to have been put back in their box down at 44% .
Win Rates
You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll. The size of this segment is determined by the number of tournament entries using that faction, the spread of their win rates at competitions and finally how many weeks are estimated to be left until the next battlescroll update.
Using our old format of win rate reporting and removing factions with less than 20 results, we have the following table:
I thought it may be interesting to also view the win rates by month during the battlescroll. This may allow us to see the effect of new Ironjawz or the like on their particular faction. Or it may show whether armies with high win rates are being adapted to by their opposition.
Subfaction and Army of Renown Win Rates
We’ve started having subfactions hit the 20 player min representation, so have taken those factions for the chart above.
ARMIES OF RENOWN
I’ve decided to have a little chart recording their progress as the Battlescroll progresses, they may well track against their own faction as a whole, but I though it would be interesting to see nonetheless.
Player Results by Wins
This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.
Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.
Faction Popularity
The full list month-by-month is below:
When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta it may not be representative of your local meta.
We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals, thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.
Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from
Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.
Results Split
This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments.
Conclusions
If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.
Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;
Blades of Khorne
Seraphon
Stormcast Eternals
Soulblight Gravelords
Gloomspite Gitz
But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.
The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.
All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.
How Win Rates are Calculated
All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).
We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.
We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.
Event Submission
If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:
Two Day Event
Singles Event
Minimum of 8 players
Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.
As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.
Soulblight Gravelords and Ossiarch Bonereaper nerfs appear to have worked at first glance, but the Kharadron Overlords who were possibly being held back a little in the last battlescroll have probably benefitted from this power vacuum and find themselves in the top spot.
The heavy handed approach on the balancing of Hedonites of Slaanesh is showing with their win rate falling to a miserable 43% this week.
Win Rates
You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll. The size of this segment is determined by the number of tournament entries using that faction, the spread of their win rates at competitions and finally how many weeks are estimated to be left until the next battlescroll update.
Using our old format of win rate reporting and removing factions with less than 20 results, we have the following table:
I thought it may be interesting to also view the win rates by month during the battlescroll. This may allow us to see the effect of new Ironjawz or the like on their particular faction. Or it may show whether armies with high win rates are being adapted to by their opposition.
Subfaction and Army of Renown Win Rates
We’ve started having subfactions hit the 20 player min representation, so have taken those factions for the chart above.
ARMIES OF RENOWN
I’ve decided to have a little chart recording their progress as the Battlescroll progresses, they may well track against their own faction as a whole, but I though it would be interesting to see nonetheless.
Player Results by Wins
This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.
Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.
Faction Popularity
The full list month-by-month is below:
When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta it may not be representative of your local meta.
We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals, thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.
Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from
Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.
Results Split
This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments.
Conclusions
If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.
Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;
Blades of Khorne
Seraphon
Stormcast Eternals
Soulblight Gravelords
Gloomspite Gitz
But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.
I thought with the release of Games Workshops Meta Article yesterday, what better time to release ours than a day later? You know, jump onthe old band wagon and all that!
The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.
All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.
How Win Rates are Calculated
All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).
We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.
We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.
Event Submission
If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:
Two Day Event
Singles Event
Minimum of 8 players
Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.
The above was updated on 27th October 2023 at 15:43 UTC after the donkey who created the spreadsheet didn’t press refresh on his pivot table to update this chart for the week.
As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.
Soulblight Gravelords and Ossiarch Bonereaper nerfs appear to have worked at first glance, but the Kharadron Overlords who were possibly being held back a little in the last battlescroll have probably benefitted from this power vacuum and find themselves in the top spot.
The heavy handed approached on the balancing of Hedonites of Slaanesh is showing with their win rate falling to a miserable 43% this week.
Win Rates
You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll. The size of this segment is determined by the number of tournament entries using that faction, the spread of their win rates at competitions and finally how many weeks are estimated to be left until the next battlescroll update.
Using our old format of win rate reporting and removing factions with less than 20 results, we have the following table:
Subfaction and Army of Renown Win Rates
We’ve started having subfactions hit the 20 player min representation, so have taken those factions for the chart above.
ARMIES OF RENOWN
I’ve decided to have a little chart recording their progress as the Battlescroll progresses, they may well track against their own faction as a whole, but I though it would be interesting to see nonetheless.
Player Results by Wins
This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.
Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.
Faction Popularity
The full list month-by-month is below:
When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta it may not be representative of your local meta.
We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals, thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.
Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from
Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.
Results Split
This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments.
Conclusions
If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.
Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;
Blades of Khorne
Seraphon
Stormcast Eternals
Soulblight Gravelords
Gloomspite Gitz
But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.