How Win Rates are Calculated

There have been inquiries regarding the calculation of our win rates. The key difference between us and Honest Wargamer is that we take into account draws, whereas Honest Wargamer/TSN only considers wins.
Our calculation method involves counting draws as a 0.5 win and 0.5 loss. This can lead to slight differences in our rates compared to those of HWG/TSN. For instance:

A player with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses would have a 40% win rate using the HWG/TSN method (2 divided by 5 = 40%). In our method, we would count 2 wins and half a win from the draw, which equals 2.5 wins. Divided by 5, the player would have a 50% win rate.

The Honest Wargamer/TSN also have access to many more tournament results than ourselves via their large fan base. This does mean that we may not have the same amount of tournament data as HWG/TSN. However, we will try and source the information if we’re aware a tournament exists.

We believe that having multiple perspectives on win rates is beneficial, and both methods have their own merits. If you want to view the great work by Ziggy and Rob’s team, visit the Honest Wargamer website.

Faction Win Rates

So I’m pretty sure this will be the last week of stats under the old GHB. We’v already had tournaments this week with the new one, so we should start to see their stats flowing in only a couple of weeks. Again, I will only publish factions that reach the point of having 20 players use them at GT’s.

In the end only two factions have not had 20 players:

• Bonesplitterz (13 Players)
• Big Waaagh! (16 Players)

Win Rates

Beasts of Chaos have improved again with their win rate. Going from 62.73% up to 64.67%. This means the margin between the top and bottom factions has increased to 28.57% (64.67% – 36.10%).

So when comparing this gap to the first half of the season:

General’s Handbook Season 1: Differential 23.41% (BoC 60.82% – GG 37.41%)
Galletian Reinforcements: Differential 28.57% (BoC 62.73% – GG 35.44%)

Either way you look at this, it has definitely been Beasts of Chaos‘ Handbook!

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly it shows the faction popularity by the number of players and secondly it breaks down those players results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

As always the entry army Stormcast Eternals, proves to be the most popular faction, leading Ogor Mawtribes and Sylvaneth.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins

Although Beasts of Chaos have the highest win rate, this has not translated into the number of 5-0 results. Ogor Mawtribes and Stormcast Eternals are joint top here, with 7 a-piece.

Win Chance

This shows the chance each faction has of achieving 5-0. This is calculated using the number of players that go 5-0 against the full number of players using that faction.

Like above, this show the chance of getting 4 or more wins (including 5-0).

And finally the chance of going 3+ wins (including 5-0 and 4+).

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.

AOS Hall of Fame

Below is a list of all the players who first achieved a 5-0 with a faction (At a Singles Event). The list is completed in date order (earliest first).