Most Warhammer stats usually live in spreadsheets. Most Warhammer discussions don’t. They happen in Discord, Reddit threads, comment sections, and group chats. Usually fuelled by screenshots taken out of context, and the phrase “the stats says…” doing far more work than it should.

We’ve spent a long time saying the same thing now: win rates are summaries. Useful ones, but only if you’re prepared to ask what’s underneath them.

Recently, we started doing something slightly different. We brought the data into the conversation itself as something you can interrogate in real time.

If you’ve ever tried to have a discussion about balance online, you’ll know how it goes.

Someone posts a faction win rate, then someone else says it’s being “carried by top players.” Another person says “it’s actually fine if you look at usage“.

The conversation staggers because nobody is looking at the same thing.

A spreadsheet is great for analysis, but it’s terrible for conversation, which is where Discord comes in.

Discord Bot

The Discord stats bot we’ve made doesn’t add new data. It uses the same GT data we already publish, with the same filters and assumptions, but makes it accessible instantly.

Instead of saying “I think X is popular”, you can check.

Example: Stormcast Eternals

At first glance, nothing looks unusual. Stormcast at time of publication have a win rate just over 50%.

This is usually where the conversation ends. But there are still questions worth asking:

– Why is the Elo gap so large?

– Why do most results sit in the 2-3 bracket?

– Why are undefeated runs relatively rare?

Same faction. Just narrowed down to a specific formation.

The win rate increases and the Elo gap even flips direction.

We’re not saying Sentinels of the Bleak Citadels is “better”. But recognising that Stormcast performance can’t be taken at face value.

When people argue about faction strength, they’re often talking about different sets of players and builds without realising it.

That’s a disagreement about what data you’re actually describing.

Popular Doesn’t Always Mean Powerful

These are the warscrolls Stormcast players use most often.

For example, the Knight-Relictor is currently the 4th most popular warscroll for Stormcast at GTs. But when it’s included it’s currently bringing Stormcast list performance down to 49%. Lists that don’t feature it are winning 57% of the time.

This is where the conversation usually gets more interesting. Here, warscrolls are measured against the faction’s own average, not against each other.

Some units show very high win rates, but only across a very small amount of games. Others show smaller lifts, but across dozens a larger sample size.

This is where questions start to matter:
Is this unit genuinely strong? Or being chosen by stronger players?

And some of them, statistically, drag results down.

Can I Use It?

Yes. Just jump on our Discord and head over to the Bot Action channel or call up the info in one of the faction channels.

We’ve further developments on the bot coming soon which will include;

• When a warscroll is included, the average number of times its used in a list
• Player history across the GHB
• List recall for Top 3 lists at events.

There are currently no plans to allow the bot into other Discord servers as I don’t want my job to turn into IT helpline….