Category Archives: Meta Analysis

Woehammer Stats

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You may have been wondering where the stats have been for the last couple of weeks. I’m pleased to say we’ve been working on something a bit special!

We have numerous members in the Woehammer team (39 members at the last count). Not all of these comment on lists. Some help me with graphics, others SEO and some are techy coders. Why am I telling you this?! Well it just so happens that one of the crew has written a piece of code that will allow us to automatically gather the tournament data from various TO websites, such as Best Coast Pairings and Stats & Ladders.

This code, gets us the pairing information, matchup results and lists for each participant at every tournament on these sites. No longer will I have to spend hours recording the data by hand! We click a button and have it all in seconds!

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR THE STATS?

It means we can get all tournament information for GTs across the globe as well as 1 dayers at the push of a button.

This will mean I’ll be able to provide you with a stats breakdown for GTs and another for RTTs. We can even combine the two into a GW metawatch style report.

As well as this, we’ll also be able to make more detailed breakdowns for each faction. This will include analysing the matchups for each faction and also what enhancements and warscrolls are being regularly taken in lists.

THE BEST THING?

We’re going to make this coding free and available to anyone who wants to use it.

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 11th November 2023

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Menu

Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Battlescroll: Tactics of Andtor (Sept 2023)

Tournaments Included:

  • Trouble at Mill
  • Invasion AoS 2023
  • Broken Ranks Q3 Illinois
  • King Gizzard and the Blizzard Wizards
  • Wardolly Weekend 5
  • LGT AoS Single
  • Gran Tourneo Huertano Individual de Murcia
  • End Times Grand Tournament 2023
  • Tough Castle 2023
  • Woehammer AoS GT II
  • Kippers Melee 2023
  • Age of Sigmar GT: US Open Tampa
  • Battle Rage Ballerup 2023
  • Palladium Games Age of Sigmar GT
  • Age of Sigmar Grant Tournament @XPG
  • Hobart Hammer Grand Tournament 2023
  • Ragnarok: Autumn 2023
  • Halloween Hoedown
  • TTB Open 2023
  • Raccoon Rumble 2023
  • Smash to Rubble II
  • Total Escape Games Winter Warhammer Smash
  • Age of Sigmar Grand Tournament 2023 by Dragonforge & Wartilyo
  • 2D6 Carnage
  • Sir GT’s-A-Lot
  • Coventry AoS GT
  • Farmhammer Brewdog
  • King Cheese GT
  • Flying Monkey Con 2023
  • TM Gaming
  • Wappler Harvest Gathering
  • Crucible 2023
  • North China Open
  • Mowan Autumn Championship 2023
  • AoS Champs at the 2023 Michigan GT
  • Sovereign Smash 2023
  • Symposium SELWG
  • Justice Series GT
  • Fantasia Fanatic XLIV AoS
  • GAF Jamboree
  • Suge & Dice Annual AoS Tournament
  • SoCal Open
  • Duckstravaganza 2: Battle for the Pond
  • I. Lay Low the Tyrants Grand Tournament
  • Malmo Wargaming Weekend 7
  • Realmgate Rumble
  • Grudgefest GT 2023
  • Tetsworth’s War and Treachery (T.W.A.T)
  • Magical Dominance Saigon Warhammer Age of Sigmar GT
  • Slambo GT
  • Realm of Geddon BSK 40
  • Threshold Invitational II
  • Battle of the Bend
  • PNW Masters 2023
  • Gitz go to War(fare) 2023

Faction Win Rates

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Soulblight Gravelords and Ossiarch Bonereaper nerfs appear to have worked at first glance, but the Kharadron Overlords who were possibly being held back a little in the last battlescroll have probably benefitted from this power vacuum and find themselves in the top spot.

The Kruleboyz appear to have been put back in their box down at 44% .

Win Rates

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll. The size of this segment is determined by the number of tournament entries using that faction, the spread of their win rates at competitions and finally how many weeks are estimated to be left until the next battlescroll update.

Using our old format of win rate reporting and removing factions with less than 20 results, we have the following table:

I thought it may be interesting to also view the win rates by month during the battlescroll. This may allow us to see the effect of new Ironjawz or the like on their particular faction. Or it may show whether armies with high win rates are being adapted to by their opposition.

Subfaction and Army of Renown Win Rates

We’ve started having subfactions hit the 20 player min representation, so have taken those factions for the chart above.

ARMIES OF RENOWN

I’ve decided to have a little chart recording their progress as the Battlescroll progresses, they may well track against their own faction as a whole, but I though it would be interesting to see nonetheless.

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

Faction Popularity

The full list month-by-month is below:

When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta it may not be representative of your local meta.

We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals, thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

Results Split

This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments.

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Blades of Khorne
  • Seraphon
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Soulblight Gravelords
  • Gloomspite Gitz

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Running 8 Week Average Win Rate Since May 2022

For a bit of fun

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 5th November 2023

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Menu

Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Battlescroll: Tactics of Andtor (Sept 2023)

Tournaments Included:

  • Trouble at Mill
  • Invasion AoS 2023
  • Broken Ranks Q3 Illinois
  • King Gizzard and the Blizzard Wizards
  • Wardolly Weekend 5
  • LGT AoS Single
  • Gran Tourneo Huertano Individual de Murcia
  • End Times Grand Tournament 2023
  • Tough Castle 2023
  • Woehammer AoS GT II
  • Kippers Melee 2023
  • Age of Sigmar GT: US Open Tampa
  • Battle Rage Ballerup 2023
  • Palladium Games Age of Sigmar GT
  • Age of Sigmar Grant Tournament @XPG
  • Hobart Hammer Grand Tournament 2023
  • Ragnarok: Autumn 2023
  • Halloween Hoedown
  • TTB Open 2023
  • Raccoon Rumble 2023
  • Smash to Rubble II
  • Total Escape Games Winter Warhammer Smash
  • Age of Sigmar Grand Tournament 2023 by Dragonforge & Wartilyo
  • King Cheese GT
  • Flying Monkey Con 2023
  • TM Gaming
  • Wappler Harvest Gathering
  • Crucible 2023
  • North China Open
  • Mowan Autumn Championship 2023
  • AoS Champs at the 2023 Michigan GT
  • Sovereign Smash 2023
  • Symposium SELWG
  • Justice Series GT
  • Fantasia Fanatic XLIV AoS
  • GAF Jamboree
  • Suge & Dice Annual AoS Tournament
  • SoCal Open
  • Duckstravaganza 2: Battle for the Pond
  • I. Lay Low the Tyrants Grand Tournament
  • Malmo Wargaming Weekend 7
  • Realmgate Rumble
  • Grudgefest GT 2023
  • Tetsworth’s War and Treachery (T.W.A.T)
  • Magical Dominance Saigon Warhammer Age of Sigmar GT
  • Slambo GT
  • Realm of Geddon BSK 40
  • Threshold Invitational II

Faction Win Rates

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Soulblight Gravelords and Ossiarch Bonereaper nerfs appear to have worked at first glance, but the Kharadron Overlords who were possibly being held back a little in the last battlescroll have probably benefitted from this power vacuum and find themselves in the top spot.

The Kruleboyz appear to have been put back in their box down at 44% .

Win Rates

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll. The size of this segment is determined by the number of tournament entries using that faction, the spread of their win rates at competitions and finally how many weeks are estimated to be left until the next battlescroll update.

Using our old format of win rate reporting and removing factions with less than 20 results, we have the following table:

I thought it may be interesting to also view the win rates by month during the battlescroll. This may allow us to see the effect of new Ironjawz or the like on their particular faction. Or it may show whether armies with high win rates are being adapted to by their opposition.

Subfaction and Army of Renown Win Rates

We’ve started having subfactions hit the 20 player min representation, so have taken those factions for the chart above.

ARMIES OF RENOWN

I’ve decided to have a little chart recording their progress as the Battlescroll progresses, they may well track against their own faction as a whole, but I though it would be interesting to see nonetheless.

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

Faction Popularity

The full list month-by-month is below:

When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta it may not be representative of your local meta.

We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals, thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

Results Split

This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments.

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Blades of Khorne
  • Seraphon
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Soulblight Gravelords
  • Gloomspite Gitz

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Running 8 Week Average Win Rate Since May 2022

For a bit of fun

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 29th October 2023

Advertisements

Menu

Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Battlescroll: Tactics of Andtor (Sept 2023)

Tournaments Included:

  • Trouble at Mill
  • Invasion AoS 2023
  • Broken Ranks Q3 Illinois
  • King Gizzard and the Blizzard Wizards
  • Wardolly Weekend 5
  • LGT AoS Single
  • Gran Tourneo Huertano Individual de Murcia
  • End Times Grand Tournament 2023
  • Tough Castle 2023
  • Woehammer AoS GT II
  • Kippers Melee 2023
  • Age of Sigmar GT: US Open Tampa
  • Battle Rage Ballerup 2023
  • Palladium Games Age of Sigmar GT
  • Age of Sigmar Grant Tournament @XPG
  • Hobart Hammer Grand Tournament 2023
  • Ragnarok: Autumn 2023
  • Halloween Hoedown
  • TTB Open 2023
  • King Cheese GT
  • Flying Monkey Con 2023
  • TM Gaming
  • Wappler Harvest Gathering
  • Crucible 2023
  • North China Open
  • Mowan Autumn Championship 2023
  • AoS Champs at the 2023 Michigan GT
  • Sovereign Smash 2023
  • Symposium SELWG
  • Justice Series GT
  • Fantasia Fanatic XLIV AoS
  • GAF Jamboree
  • Suge & Dice Annual AoS Tournament
  • SoCal Open
  • Duckstravaganza 2: Battle for the Pond
  • I. Lay Low the Tyrants Grand Tournament
  • Malmo Wargaming Weekend 7
  • Realmgate Rumble
  • Grudgefest GT 2023
  • Tetsworth’s War and Treachery (T.W.A.T)

Faction Win Rates

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Soulblight Gravelords and Ossiarch Bonereaper nerfs appear to have worked at first glance, but the Kharadron Overlords who were possibly being held back a little in the last battlescroll have probably benefitted from this power vacuum and find themselves in the top spot.

The heavy handed approach on the balancing of Hedonites of Slaanesh is showing with their win rate falling to a miserable 43% this week.

Win Rates

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll. The size of this segment is determined by the number of tournament entries using that faction, the spread of their win rates at competitions and finally how many weeks are estimated to be left until the next battlescroll update.

Using our old format of win rate reporting and removing factions with less than 20 results, we have the following table:

I thought it may be interesting to also view the win rates by month during the battlescroll. This may allow us to see the effect of new Ironjawz or the like on their particular faction. Or it may show whether armies with high win rates are being adapted to by their opposition.

Subfaction and Army of Renown Win Rates

We’ve started having subfactions hit the 20 player min representation, so have taken those factions for the chart above.

ARMIES OF RENOWN

I’ve decided to have a little chart recording their progress as the Battlescroll progresses, they may well track against their own faction as a whole, but I though it would be interesting to see nonetheless.

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

Faction Popularity

The full list month-by-month is below:

When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta it may not be representative of your local meta.

We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals, thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

Results Split

This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments.

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Blades of Khorne
  • Seraphon
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Soulblight Gravelords
  • Gloomspite Gitz

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Running 8 Week Average Win Rate Since May 2022

For a bit of fun

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 22nd October 2023

Advertisements

I thought with the release of Games Workshops Meta Article yesterday, what better time to release ours than a day later? You know, jump onthe old band wagon and all that!

Menu

Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Battlescroll: Tactics of Andtor (Sept 2023)

Tournaments Included:

  • Trouble at Mill
  • Invasion AoS 2023
  • Broken Ranks Q3 Illinois
  • King Gizzard and the Blizzard Wizards
  • Wardolly Weekend 5
  • LGT AoS Single
  • Gran Tourneo Huertano Individual de Murcia
  • End Times Grand Tournament 2023
  • Tough Castle 2023
  • Woehammer AoS GT II
  • Kippers Melee 2023
  • Age of Sigmar GT: US Open Tampa
  • Battle Rage Ballerup 2023
  • Palladium Games Age of Sigmar GT
  • Age of Sigmar Grant Tournament @XPG
  • Hobart Hammer Grand Tournament 2023
  • King Cheese GT
  • Flying Monkey Con 2023
  • TM Gaming
  • Wappler Harvest Gathering
  • Crucible 2023
  • North China Open
  • Mowan Autumn Championship 2023
  • AoS Champs at the 2023 Michigan GT
  • Sovereign Smash 2023
  • Symposium SELWG
  • Justice Series GT
  • Fantasia Fanatic XLIV AoS
  • GAF Jamboree
  • Suge & Dice Annual AoS Tournament
  • SoCal Open
  • Duckstravaganza 2: Battle for the Pond
  • I. Lay Low the Tyrants Grand Tournament
  • Malmo Wargaming Weekend 7

Faction Win Rates

The above was updated on 27th October 2023 at 15:43 UTC after the donkey who created the spreadsheet didn’t press refresh on his pivot table to update this chart for the week.

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Soulblight Gravelords and Ossiarch Bonereaper nerfs appear to have worked at first glance, but the Kharadron Overlords who were possibly being held back a little in the last battlescroll have probably benefitted from this power vacuum and find themselves in the top spot.

The heavy handed approached on the balancing of Hedonites of Slaanesh is showing with their win rate falling to a miserable 43% this week.

Win Rates

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll. The size of this segment is determined by the number of tournament entries using that faction, the spread of their win rates at competitions and finally how many weeks are estimated to be left until the next battlescroll update.

Using our old format of win rate reporting and removing factions with less than 20 results, we have the following table:

Subfaction and Army of Renown Win Rates

We’ve started having subfactions hit the 20 player min representation, so have taken those factions for the chart above.

ARMIES OF RENOWN

I’ve decided to have a little chart recording their progress as the Battlescroll progresses, they may well track against their own faction as a whole, but I though it would be interesting to see nonetheless.

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

Faction Popularity

The full list month-by-month is below:

When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta it may not be representative of your local meta.

We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals, thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

Results Split

This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments.

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Blades of Khorne
  • Seraphon
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Soulblight Gravelords
  • Gloomspite Gitz

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Running 8 Week Average Win Rate Since May 2022

For a bit of fun

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.

Six Nations Lists: Six Takeaways

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The Six Nations AoS Teams Tournament is coming up soon, where England, Ireland, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Sweden and Wales will compete against each other and the lists have just been released. To give you an overview of the kinds of matchups that will be coming up and what we can learn from the submissions of these national teams, we’ve come up with six takeaways from the lists.

For reference, here’s all the army lists in one handy download (courtesy of AoS 6 Nations, Underworld Gaming and Mediocre Hobbies)

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Blood for the Blood God…Apart from in Scotland.

Of the Six Nations, all countries took a Khorne variant apart from Scotland, underlining how powerful Khorne are in the current meta with their ability to march across the board and stomp their authority on any game. Prayers are clearly going to be a key part of the Khorne strategy alongside the ubiquitous Murderlust for those out of phase movements. Only one Skarbrand out of the five lists, but lots of Wrathmongers and Flesh Hounds with one Bloodlords list with waves of Bloodletters. Other popular lists included Soulblight Legion of Night with Manfred appearing in three of the four lists; Seraphon Fangs of Sotek with double Ark of Sotek Bastiladon; three King Brodd’s Stomps, with three bigs and three littles and three Disciples of Tzeentch Guild of Summoners lists with 12 Enlightened on Discs.

Give me ALL of the Primal Dice!

While there are lots of battle regiments in the lists as expected, the next most common battalion is Andtorian Acolytes for those extra Primal Dice. In most cases, the lists in question could not fit into a single battle regiment, but rather than going for a second battle regiment, those extra Primals seemed to be worth going to a three drop list minimum. Alongside a high frequency of Merciless Blizzard, the potential for a single hero phase to turn around what should be an easy win to a loss (or vice-versa) is definitely there. Even just being aware of the threat will impact on the opponent’s strategy, which might be enough to get a positive result for your team.

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Fight me, you coward!

We are clearly in a combat-heavy meta at the moment, with the vast majority of lists focusing on winning the battle by fighting in combat as opposed to relying on ranged shooting attacks. Both Daughters of Khaine lists have eschewed the Bow Snakes for the Fighty Snakes; there are no Lumineth Sentinels at the event; even Kharadron Overlords are much more focused on fighting out of a Frigate rather than Thunderers blasting away from range. There are a couple of exceptions, with all of the Idoneth lists having a healthy amount of shooting, with even the Namarti-heavy list having 40 Reavers and the Shark lists having a huge number of attacks that will also explode on 6s. It will be interesting who these will be matched up with because the lack of return shooting from their opponents could really swing the matchup in the fish-elves favour!

OB – Where?

One of the more underrepresented armies of the top echelon recently are Ossiarch Bonereapers, with only two nations choosing to collect the Bone Tithe and both of these being Null Myriad lists. The points increases on Immortis seem to have done the trick as there are only two units at the event, with Deathriders and Mortek picking up the slack. Perhaps this isn’t surprising as only a quarter of the armies at the event are heavy magic-users and the pairings process can potentially avoid a single anti-magic army. Other notable missing armies include Beasts of Chaos, Ogor Mawtribes and Kruleboyz – just kidding! As recently as a few months back, there would be less variation than we have represented, with nineteen of twenty-four battle tomes in attendance, showing how healthy the meta currently is.

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An Age of Heroes.

Across the lists, there is definitely a flavour of what unique heroes can bring to an army, not only narratively, but competitively too. Named characters who will be fighting it out include Gobsprakk, Katakros, Skarbrand, Brokk Grungsson, Kairos Fateweaver, Manfred Von Carstein, The Glottkin, Severith, Morathi and everyone’s (least) favourite angry dwarf, Gotrek. One of my favourite aspects of AoS is how cool it looks on the tabletop to have these centre-piece models battle it out and there will be ample opportunities for epic showdowns across the event with this array of heroes.

Skewl List, bro!

Most of the lists submitted are relatively close to a take-all-comers singles list too, but there are a couple of more skew lists that look really interesting that will cause absolute headaches for whoever gets paired into them. The IDK shark lists come close to this, but they’ve become a bit more mainstream, with several players running this list successfully. What might become more of a meta-list after this event and with the arrival of Belthanos on the scene is Andreas Angermund’s 18 Spiterider and 6 Seeker list. Firstly, respect to Andreas if he is transporting that many models with fragile and awkward wings but then to also give your opponent the dilemma of having these 24 flies be able to pre-game move 12″ before the game even starts…yikes! Another interesting list that could very quickly get across the table and punch you in the mouth is Greg Shelton’s 30 Black Knight list. Black Knights appear in several of the Soulblight lists, but no-one has gone as hard in as Greg has. If all three Black Knight units make a charge, Greg will be rolling 60 dice and expecting at least 20 mortal wounds as his return – scary stuff indeed.

So that’s six takeaways from the Six Nations lists. Best of luck to all competitors at what I’m sure will be a great event. Are there any interesting combos that I’ve missed? Please comment below if I have and let us know which list(s) you think will do the most work!

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 15th October 2023

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Menu

Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Battlescroll: Tactics of Andtor (Sept 2023)

Tournaments Included:

  • Trouble at Mill
  • Invasion AoS 2023
  • Broken Ranks Q3 Illinois
  • King Gizzard and the Blizzard Wizards
  • Wardolly Weekend 5
  • LGT AoS Single
  • Gran Tourneo Huertano Individual de Murcia
  • End Times Grand Tournament 2023
  • Tough Castle 2023
  • Woehammer AoS GT II
  • Kippers Melee 2023
  • Age of Sigmar GT: US Open Tampa
  • King Cheese GT
  • Flying Monkey Con 2023
  • TM Gaming
  • Wappler Harvest Gathering
  • Crucible 2023
  • North China Open
  • Mowan Autumn Championship 2023
  • AoS Champs at the 2023 Michigan GT
  • Sovereign Smash 2023
  • Symposium SELWG
  • Justice Series GT
  • Fantasia Fanatic XLIV AoS

Faction Win Rates

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Soulblight Gravelords and Ossiarch Bonereaper nerfs appear to have worked at first glance, but the Kharadron Overlords who were possibly being held back a little in the last battlescroll have probably benefitted from this power vacuum and find themselves in the top spot.

The heavy handed approached on the balancing of Hedonites of Slaanesh is showing with their win rate falling to a miserable 43% this week.

Win Rates

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll. The size of this segment is determined by the number of tournament entries using that faction, the spread of their win rates at competitions and finally how many weeks are estimated to be left until the next battlescroll update.

Using out old format of win rate reporting and removing factions with less than 20 results, we have the following table:

Subfaction and Army of Renown Win Rates

We’ve started having subfactions hit the 20 player min representation, so have taken those factions for the chart above. Null Myriad still very strong, despite OBR as a faction being at 53%.

ARMIES OF RENOWN

I’ve decided to have a little chart recording their progress as the Battlescroll progresses, they may well track against their own faction as a whole, but I though it would be interesting to see nonetheless.

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

Faction Popularity

At first glance it would appear that Stormcast Eternals have reclaimed their spot as the most popular faction after being out of the limelight since January this year.

The full list month-by-month is below:

When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta it may not be representative of your local meta.

We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals, thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

Results Split

This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments.

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Blades of Khorne
  • Seraphon
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Soulblight Gravelords
  • Gloomspite Gitz

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Running 8 Week Average Win Rate Since May 2022

For a bit of fun

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 8th October 2023

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Menu

Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Battlescroll: Tactics of Andtor (Sept 2023)

Tournaments Included:

  • Trouble at Mill
  • Invasion AoS 2023
  • Broken Ranks Q3 Illinois
  • King Gizzard and the Blizzard Wizards
  • Wardolly Weekend 5
  • LGT AoS Single
  • Gran Tourneo Huertano Individual de Murcia
  • End Times Grand Tournament 2023
  • Tough Castle 2023
  • King Cheese GT
  • Flying Monkey Con 2023
  • TM Gaming
  • Wappler Harvest Gathering
  • Crucible 2023
  • North China Open
  • Mowan Autumn Championship 2023
  • AoS Champs at the 2023 Michigan GT
  • Sovereign Smash 2023

Faction Win Rates

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Below you will see tables for events still running the July Battlescroll (Andtor), and another for events using the updated Battlescroll in September (Tactics of Andtor)

Win Rates

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll. The size of this segment is determined by the number of tournament entries using that faction, the spread of their win rates at competitions and finally how many weeks are estimated to be left until the next battlescroll update.

Using out old format of win rate reporting and removing factions with less than 20 results, we have the following table:

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

Faction Popularity

At first glance it would appear that Stormcast Eternals have reclaimed their spot as the most popular faction after being out of the limelight since January this year.

The full list month-by-month is below:

When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta it may not be representative of your local meta.

We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals, thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

Results Split

This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments.

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Blades of Khorne
  • Seraphon
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Soulblight Gravelords
  • Gloomspite Gitz

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Running 8 Week Average Win Rate Since May 2022

For a bit of fun

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 1st October 2023

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Menu

Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Battlescroll: Tactics of Andtor (Sept 2023)

Tournaments Included:

  • Trouble at Mill
  • Invasion AoS 2023
  • Broken Ranks Q3 Illinois
  • King Gizzard and the Blizzard Wizards
  • Wardolly Weekend 5
  • LGT AoS Single
  • King Cheese GT
  • Flying Monkey Con 2023
  • TM Gaming
  • Wappler Harvest Gathering
  • Crucible 2023
  • North China Open

Faction Win Rates

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Below you will see tables for events still running the July Battlescroll (Andtor), and another for events using the updated Battlescroll in September (Tactics of Andtor)

Win Rates

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll. The size of this segment is determined by the number of tournament entries using that faction, the spread of their win rates at competitions and finally how many weeks are estimated to be left until the next battlescroll update.

Using out old format of win rate reporting and removing factions with less than 20 results, we have the following table:

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

Faction Popularity

At first glance it would appear that Stormcast Eternals have reclaimed their spot as the most popular faction after being out of the limelight since January this year.

The full list month-by-month is below:

When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta it may not be representative of your local meta.

We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals, thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

Results Split

This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments.

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Blades of Khorne
  • Seraphon
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Soulblight Gravelords
  • Gloomspite Gitz

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Running 8 Week Average Win Rate Since May 2022

For a bit of fun

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 24th September 2023

Advertisements

Menu

Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Battlescroll: Andtor (July 2023)

Tournaments Included:

  • Renegades of the Realm
  • The London Open
  • Age of Sigmar Grand Tournament: US Open Tacoma
  • 2D6 Oslohammer #5
  • GT de AoS de Shyish a Ghryan
  • Midwest Meltdown
  • FLG Outlaw GT
  • Book of Grudges – A Scribes of War Age of Sigmar GT
  • Southern Fried Sigmar GT
  • Boise Cup O AoS GT 2023
  • Age of Ropecon GT
  • The Northern Ireland AoD GT
  • Donkeycon 2023
  • Ragnarok AoS Ironman
  • Quest of Champions: Heat 4
  • Old Town Throwdown: Summer Smash
  • Notorious GT III
  • Golden Ticket: Age of Sigmar Event
  • CCBB2023 – Age of Sigmar Championship
  • 2023 US Goonhammer Open Age of Sigmar GT
  • Nashcon Age of Sigmar GT 2023
  • Smash to Rubble
  • Whitburn Wipeout GT
  • Northern Wastes GT
  • Big Bristol Brawl Summer GT
  • Thunderstrike GT
  • Nova Open Age of Sigmar GT
  • Lord of the Mounds 7
  • Macki Wojny GT3
  • 5 Alarm GT
  • Hurricane Lee GT
  • AoS Irish Grand Tournament – September 2023
  • AoS Frontier Cup 2023
  • Montreal GT
  • A Score to Settle
  • Sparkle Party Death Match IX
  • Champion of Black Oil 3
  • Dwellers Below AoS GT
  • Threshold Invitational
  • Straight Edge Wargaming: It’s Andtor not Andor you Stupid Wookie
  • Slaughter in the Sun GT
  • BWG: Summer Slaughter GT 2023
  • Feud on the Fens
  • Gymhammer
  • Loremaster #2 La Classique
  • Fantasianorth Store Championship
  • Leeds AoS GT
  • Death and Riches
  • GTG 2dagars AoS Turnering
  • Bathurst GT 2023
  • King in the North! 23
  • Age of Sigmar Grimnir’s Vengeance Grand Tournament
  • Blackout VII
  • Tempest 2023
  • Gateway Open 2023 Age of Sigmar
  • Emerald City Open III
  • Salt Lake Open 2023 – AoS Championship
  • Goldcon 2023
  • Fall to Darkness: Chapter One
  • Midtcon GT
  • Mancunian Carnage: Summer 2023
  • Kral Vysociny 23
  • AG War of the Realms GT
  • Broken Realms and Minis for War 4
  • Smite Club Open 2023
  • Sydney Grand Tournament 2023
  • No Surrender
  • The Lords AoS Tournament
  • FaceHammer GT 2023
  • Hammerfest 2023

Faction Win Rates

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Below you will see tables for events still running the July Battlescroll (Andtor), and another for events using the updated Battlescroll in September (Tactics of Andtor)

Win Rates

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll. The size of this segment is determined by the number of tournament entries using that faction, the spread of their win rates at competitions and finally how many weeks are estimated to be left until the next battlescroll update.

It appears to be the last week under the old Battlescroll: Andtor before the new changes start to flow into tournament this weekend. So I can’t see any of the stats changing over the next week too much. But at the end of the period, we’re looking at only two factions above the 55% win rate, both of which have received nerfs in the new battlescroll, so watch this space!

At the other end of the table Nighthaunt fell into the sub 45% zone in the final week of the battlescroll and ended with 44%. They’re joined by Skaven (43%), Stormcast Eternals (42%) and Cities of Sigmar (36%).

Using out old format of win rate reporting and removing factions with less than 20 results, we have the following table:

Win Rate Comparison by Regions

Going forwards I may lump UK & Ireland, Scandinavia and Europe all into one category “Europe”. This then may be more directly comparable to the North American results as they’ll have similar player numbers.

Subfaction Results

I often get requested for Subfaction results, so will start posting win rates for those subfactions who have exceeded a player representation of 20.

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

Soulblight Gravelords and Ossiarch Bonereapers seem to be the most popular factions right now, and with win rates of +55% it’s probably no surprise. They’re closely followed by the other two factions with the newest battletomes, Seraphon and Blades of Khorne.

And the below chart for events running updated points and rules:

Faction Popularity

But while the Soulblight Gravelords are currently the most popular faction during this Battlescroll season, we’ve seen Blades of Khorne have had a resurgence in July, and this could be partly down to their anti-magic tech for the new GHB.

The full list month-by-month is below:

When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta it may not be representative of your local meta.

We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals, thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

For example in the table above out of the 254 players who attended tournaments using Soulblight Gravelords, 46 of those players were able to go through their first three rounds undefeated (3 wins in 3 games) (Grey bar), 24 of those 46 players were then able to go four wins from four, after four rounds (Orange bar). Out of those 24 players, 21 were able to convert this into 5-0 (Blue bar)

Looking at events running the updated points and rules:

Results Split

This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments. For Example, taking Soulblight Gravelords again, we can see from this chart that 61.20% (Blue Line) were able to achieve at least three wins at a 5 game tournament. 27.60% of the 254 Soulblight players were able to achieve four wins or more at GT’s (Orange Line). Finally 8.40% of the Soulblight players were able to achieve 5-0 (Grey Line).

Looking at events which ran the new points and updated rules:

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Blades of Khorne
  • Seraphon
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Soulblight Gravelords
  • Gloomspite Gitz

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Running 8 Week Average Win Rate Since May 2022

For a bit of fun

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.