Category Archives: Meta Analysis

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 28th May 2023

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Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Tournaments Included:

  • Clash of the Titans ’23
  • Age of Sigmar – Chaos Unleashed
  • The London Open
  • The Icebreaker GT 2023
  • Hampshire Grand Tournament
  • Valleycon 2023
  • Trouble at Mill
  • Rum and Rumble
  • Warpstone Wars GT
  • Grand Clash 2023
  • Charlotte Karnage
  • Ragnarok GT May 2023
  • Warpfire – Sigmar Summit 2023
  • Regicide in the Realms
  • The Really Good GT
  • TRS Torneo Regio Sabaudo
  • Game Knight AoS GT
  • Alberta Classic
  • Mango Mafia Presents: Meatgrinder 2023
  • Woehammer AoS GT
  • Big Bucks Spring Bash 2023
  • Maple Meltdown
  • Birmingham AoS GT
  • Battle in the Smokey Mountains
  • Smash & Bash 2023
  • Seek Refuge from Spring Showers
  • West Coast GT
  • HAST2: Who Let the Dogs Out?
  • Border War 2023
  • Welsh Open
  • Highground Brewsky GT
  • Spring Rubicon 2023 GT
  • Warhammer Fest
  • El Bunker: a Matter of Honour
  • Wartilyo Grand Tournament 2023
  • CTC Age of Sigmar Championship
  • Svenska Masterskapet GHB 22
  • Aotearoa New Zealand Masters 2023
  • HWP Bloody Beach GT
  • Wargames for Warriors
  • Age of Sigmar – Lincon
  • SAGT ’23
  • Mancunian Carnage
  • Ironweld
  • Bay Area Open
  • AOSSE Spring Edition 2023

Faction Win Rates

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Win Rates

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll.

Big Bucks Spring Bash, was the first tournament to allow the new Seraphon book, and as you’ll see from the Top 3 article coming out later this week, they took 1st and 2nd. A sign of things to come, maybe, maybe not.

Soulblight Gravelords continue to lead the way with a 63% win rate, followed some distance behind by Kharadron Overlords (59%), Blades of Khorne (57%) and Slaanesh (56%).

Ossiarch Bonereapers(55%) have not fallen into the acceptable bracket.. just.

If you wish to view our traditional win rate chart without the margin of confidence:

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

Slaves to Darkness appears to be falling down the pack in popularity now, possibly due to its poor win rates at the competitive level.

Faction Popularity

With the recent release of the Gloomspite Gitz tome, we’re also seeing a large number of players jump to the revamped destruction faction.

But while the Gloomspite Gitz are the most popular faction during this Battlescroll season, we’ve seen Soulblight Gravelords come out on top as the most popular faction in May, followed by Ossiarch Bonereapers.

The full list month-by-month is below:

When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta worldwide it may not be representative of your local meta.

We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals, thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from 3

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

Results Split

This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments.

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these.sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Slaves to Darkness
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Hedonites of Slaanesh
  • Blades of Khorne
  • Gloomspite Gitz
  • Soulblight Gravelords
  • Ossiarch Bonereapers

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 14th May 2023

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Menu

Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Tournaments Included:

  • Clash of the Titans ’23
  • Age of Sigmar – Chaos Unleashed
  • The London Open
  • The Icebreaker GT 2023
  • Hampshire Grand Tournament
  • Valleycon 2023
  • Trouble at Mill
  • Rum and Rumble
  • Warpstone Wars GT
  • Grand Clash 2023
  • Charlotte Karnage
  • Smash & Bash 2023
  • Seek Refuge from Spring Showers
  • West Coast GT
  • HAST2: Who Let the Dogs Out?
  • Border War 2023
  • Welsh Open
  • Highground Brewsky GT
  • Spring Rubicon 2023 GT
  • Warhammer Fest
  • El Bunker: a Matter of Honour

Faction Win Rates

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Win Rates

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll.

Remember that a lot of the data sets for these factions is still very small and are likely to sway a considerable amount over the next few weeks. So take the info included in this article with a massive helping of salt.

This week sees Soulblight Gravelords maintain up to

first place in our win rate table with 63%.

If you wish to view our traditional win rate chart without the margin of confidence:

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

Stormcast Eternals (44%) continue to have been left on the shelves in favour of Slaves to Darkness (44%). Gloomspite Gitz (55%) also has jumped up a few places and now has taken the number one spot from Slaves as well. This is likely due to the last Battlescroll having little to no effect on their play as they continue with a 55% win rate.

Faction Popularity

With the recent release of the Gloomspite Gitz tome, we’re also seeing a large number of players jump to the revamped destruction faction.

The full list month-by-month is below:

When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta worldwide it may not be representative of your local meta.

We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals (45%), thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from 3

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

Gloomspite Gitz (55%), although seem to have a large amount of players reaching 3 wins from 3, but seem to be unable to convert this into 4 from 4, likely thanks to the other strong Battletomes floating around at the moment.

Results Split

This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments. Eight factions in this list have over 50% of their players achieving a minimum of 3 wins at GT’s. With four of those achieving over 60% of their player base managing 3 or more wins. I find it interesting that nearly 70% of Hedonites of Slaanesh (57%) players are able to achieve 3 or more wins, but only 2% are able to achieve the full 5. Thats a huge drop off, and suggests that they really suffer in the final round or two of GT’s when they are coming up against the top tier armies such as Kharadron Overlords (59%) and Blades of Khorne (59%).

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these.sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Slaves to Darkness
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Hedonites of Slaanesh
  • Blades of Khorne
  • Gloomspite Gitz
  • Kharadron Overlords

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 7th May 2023

Advertisements

Menu

Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Tournaments Included:

  • Clash of the Titans ’23
  • Age of Sigmar – Chaos Unleashed
  • The London Open
  • The Icebreaker GT 2023
  • Hampshire Grand Tournament
  • Valleycon 2023
  • Trouble at Mill
  • Rum and Rumble
  • Warpstone Wars GT
  • Grand Clash 2023
  • Charlotte Karnage
  • Smash & Bash 2023
  • Seek Refuge from Spring Showers
  • West Coast GT
  • HAST2: Who Let the Dogs Out?
  • Border War 2023
  • Welsh Open
  • Highground Brewsky GT
  • Spring Rubicon 2023 GT
  • Warhammer Fest
  • El Bunker: a Matter of Honour

Faction Win Rates

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Win Rates

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll.

Remember that a lot of the data sets for these factions is still very small and are likely to sway a considerable amount over the next few weeks. So take the info included in this article with a massive helping of salt.

This week sees Soulblight Gravelords move up to first place in our win rate table with 63%. While previous leaders Kharadron Overlords fall from 60% to 58%.

If you wish to view our traditional win rate chart without the margin of confidence:

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

Stormcast Eternals (45%) continue to have been left on the shelves in favour of Slaves to Darkness (45%). Gloomspite Gitz (55%) also have jumped up a few places and now have taken the number one spot from Slaves as well. This is likely due to the last Battlescroll having little to no effect on their playas they continue with a 55% win rate.

Faction Popularity

With the recent release of the Gloomspite Gitz tome, we’re also seeing a large number of players jump to the revamped destruction faction.

The full list month-by-month is below:

When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta worldwide it may not be representative of your local meta.

We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals (45%), thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from 3

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

Gloomspite Gitz (55%), although seem to have a large amount of players reaching 3 wins from 3, but seem to be unable to convert this into 4 from 4, likely thanks to the other strong Battletomes floating around at the moment.

Results Split

This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments. Eight factions in this list have over 50% of their players achieving a minimum of 3 wins at GT’s. With four of those achieving over 60% of their player base managing 3 or more wins. I find it interesting that nearly 70% of Hedonites of Slaanesh (57%) players are able to achieve 3 or more wins, but only 2% are able to achieve the full 5. Thats a huge drop off, and suggests that they really suffer in the final round or two of GT’s when they are coming up against the top tier armies such as Kharadron Overlords (58%) and Blades of Khorne (59%).

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these.sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Slaves to Darkness
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Hedonites of Slaanesh
  • Blades of Khorne
  • Gloomspite Gitz
  • Kharadron Overlords

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 30th April 2023

Advertisements

Menu

Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Tournaments Included:

  • Clash of the Titans ’23
  • Age of Sigmar – Chaos Unleashed
  • The London Open
  • The Icebreaker GT 2023
  • Hampshire Grand Tournament
  • Valleycon 2023
  • Trouble at Mill
  • Rum and Rumble
  • Warpstone Wars GT
  • Grand Clash 2023
  • Charlotte Karnage
  • Smash & Bash 2023
  • Seek Refuge from Spring Showers
  • West Coast GT
  • HAST2: Who Let the Dogs Out?
  • Border War 2023
  • Welsh Open
  • Highground Brewsky GT
  • Spring Rubicon 2023 GT
  • Warhammer Fest
  • El Bunker: a Matter of Honour

Faction Win Rates

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Win Rates

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll.

Remember that a lot of the data sets for these factions is still very small and are likely to sway a considerable amount over the next few weeks. So take the info included in this article with a massive helping of salt.

Here we go again then! Another Battlescroll starting to kick off. With no suprise to anyone, Kharadron Overlords (60%) are leading the way with Blades of Khorne (60%), the new Soulblight Gravelords (58%) and Hedonites of Slaanesh (57%) hot on their heels. All of these books have been released within the last couple of months, which unfortunately would suggest some power creep in the books, or possibly a relaxation of the review process that we’ve seen in the previous tomes. I can only assume at this point that this could be due to the writing staff now upping their workload with 4th Edition as we close on a year until it’s release. Are the writers having as much time to work on these Battletomes as before? Have we seen a regurgitation of rules from other books to save time?

Also, with being a fresh battlescroll which didn’t actually seem to affect these top armies that much, we’re likely to have this as the status quo now for a good long while until the next General Handbook release. Unless of course, they decide to do some kind of emergency adjustment? But I doubt they’ll do that, and just use the time to gather data to sharpen the effect of the next battlescroll and handbook release.

Like I said, this is my assumption, and I’m by no way saying this IS what is happening.

If you wish to view our traditional win rate chart without the margin of confidence:

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

Stormcast Eternals (44%) continue to have been left on the shelves in favour of Slaves to Darkness (48%). Gloomspite Gitz (55%) also have jumped up a few places and now have taken the number one spot from Slaves as well. This is likely due to the last Battlescroll having little to no effect on their playas they continue with a 55% win rate.

Faction Popularity

With the recent release of the Gloomspite Gitz tome, we’re also seeing a large number of players jump to the revamped destruction faction.

The full list month-by-month is below:

When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta worldwide it may not be representative of your local meta.

We’re seeing (as always) a massive spike in the player base of the new tomes that have been released and fall off on the older Tomes. This is to be expected really as competitive players jump around following the “Oooo shiny” method of collecting. They’ll likely always be a strong base for Stormcast Eternals (44%), thanks to them appearing in nearly all beginner army sets, as magazine collections and the feature of many stories in Age of Sigmar.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from 3

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

Gloomspite Gitz (55%), although seem to have a large amount of players reaching 3 wins from 3, but seem to be unable to convert this into 4 from 4, likely thanks to the other strong Battletomes floating around at the moment.

Results Split

This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments. Eight factions in this list have over 50% of their players achieving a minimum of 3 wins at GT’s. With four of those achieving over 60% of their player base managing 3 or more wins. I find it interesting that nearly 70% of Hedonites of Slaanesh (57%) players are able to achieve 3 or more wins, but only 2% are able to achieve the full 5. Thats a huge drop off, and suggests that they really suffer in the final round or two of GT’s when they are coming up against the top tier armies such as Kharadron Overlords (60%), Blades of Khorne (60%) and Disciples of Tzeentch (54%). Disciples appear to perform particularly well in later rounds as 8% of their players achieve 5-0 (that would be a third after Kharadron and Blades if you were to place them in a league table. Be wary though, if you’re thinking of collecting Tzeentch because of that stat, remember their player base is relatively small and so it’s likely they are being handled by stalwart fans who know their army well.

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Don’t just look at our data either, look at TSN and also GW. Get a big picture, use these.sites as sources to make your own informed opinion on the meta. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Slaves to Darkness
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Hedonites of Slaanesh
  • Blades of Khorne
  • Gloomspite Gitz
  • Kharadron Overlords

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 9th April 2023

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Menu

Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Tournaments Included:

  • GT Wargame Garrison Madrid
  • AoS Ironman
  • Østjysk Mesterskab I terningehøjdekast
  • Rise of the Champions
  • Quest of Champions – Heat 1
  • Bloodshed in the Shires
  • CaptainCon
  • Columbus Brewhammer
  • DaBoyz Golden Sprue GT
  • War of the Ospreys
  • Realm of Geddon
  • Gods of War 3
  • Great South Waaagh
  • War of the Spider God
  • Midwest Bash 2 AoS GT
  • Aos Alliance Open Masters
  • Battle at the Brook
  • Sheffield Slaughter
  • The Lone Star Grand Tournament
  • Battle of Copenhagen
  • Sydney Salt Smash
  • Wardolly Weekend
  • Spring GT
  • A Gathering of Might
  • TCC: AoS March 2-Day Event
  • War Under the Mountain
  • Adepticon 2023
  • The Lords AoS Tournament Season 2
  • IIC N – II GT de CAT
  • Exploding Dice AoS GT
  • Neapolis GT
  • Cake or Death 2023
  • Gallant Games Aos Store Championship
  • Warhammer Age of Sigmar: Matched Play Event
  • Cherokee Open
  • Small Town Throwdoen: Smoke on the Water
  • AOSFF Solo 2022-2023 Finale
  • Norsehammer Open
  • G&T GT
  • Sigmar’s Spice Rack
  • Golden Potato
  • Realmgate Rampage II
  • Brewdog AoS GT
  • Midtcon GT
  • Southampton GT
  • Silverstream Smackdown
  • War in the North 3
  • Straight Edge Wargaming
  • Guts & Glory AoS Club Tournament
  • Sparkle Party Deathmatch VIII
  • Rocky Mountain Open
  • Rumble in the Rockies
  • March Mayhem
  • Dazmaul Wargaming Tournament 2023
  • Stockholm Slaughter 9: Miniluntan
  • Manchester AoG GT
  • Spring Rumpus GT
  • Dala Stompen
  • Fantasia Fanatic XLIII
  • Vic GT 2023
  • Justtice Series Grand Tournament
  • Quest of Champions – Heat 2
    • Broken Realms and Minis for War 3

Faction Win Rates

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Win Rates

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll.

Our first takeaway is that at the present win rates, the new Kharadron Overlords book continues to have a falling winrate, after a debut two weeks ago at around 67%, it’s now fallen to 63%, will the this trend continue? Players who fought the previous iteration are perhaps being wrong-footed by the switch in where the threats are coming from in this new book. I think that this may yet settle down, but not before the new Battlescroll hits next month.

We won’t talk about the new Slaanesh or Khorne results yet, as with only a few players apiece it’s too early to draw any meaningful data from these.

Disciples of Tzeentch are in excess of the 45-55% bracket. While Big Waaagh has fallen this week back within tolerance. Big Waaagh is a small (possibly highly skilled) sample size, the Disciples of Tzeentch is now large enough of a sample to consider this figure seriously.

Gloomspite Gitz and Lumineth Realm-Lords both threaten to break the 45-55% bracket but as yet haven’t quite done so. Interestingly with Lumineth, we are seeing a standout subfaction here (which as we all know revolves around Teclis, Sentinels and the Rune of Petrification).

This goes to show, that looking at a win rate for a faction as a whole doesn’t necessarily tell the whole picture. We can see that Helon (the most common subfaction) is reaching the dizzying heights of 61%, but this is being pulled down by the other subfactions, with Ymetrica (the cow dudes) really suffering.

Likewise with Gloomspite Gitz, we’re seeing that the Jaws of Mork (Squigs), is really the outstanding subfaction so far, while all the others are seeing pretty reasonable win rates. So don’t necesaarily rag on your mate that plays Gitz (unless they’re playing Jaws).

If you wish to view our traditional win rate chart without the margin of confidence:

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

For once Stormcast have been knocked off their perch as the most popular faction, with Slaves to Darkness now taking the top spot. Athough Stormcast did make a considerable dent into this faction lead last weekend.

Faction Popularity

Looking further into this, let’s compare some of these factions current popularity to their past results.

I’ve chosen seven factions, all of which have been affected by either new Battletomes or rules changes in some way over the last few months.

Ogor Mawtribes saw a large jump in their player base from December onwards as the players started seeing the potential of their new battletome.

We can also see straight away the effect of the Slaves to Darkness new Battletone in January/February with time. Their share of the player base jumped from roughly 2.5% in the previous months to well over 5% in January onwards. With 9.4% of all the players in February choosing Slaves to Darkness. Likewise, we see a drop in the percentage of Seraphon, Sons of Behemat, and Idoneth Deepkin players for the same time periods.

With the recent release of the Gloomspite Gitz tome, we’re also seeing a large number of players jump to the revamped destruction faction.

The full list month-by-month is below:

When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta worldwide it may not be representative of your local meta.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from 3

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

We can see here that the graph is sorted left to right by the number of 5-0s. Lumineth Realm-Lords have achieved the most with 9 players going 5-0. When looking at this graph, bear in mind the player base size shown in brackets.

Results Split

This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments. Previously new Gloomspite Gitz had 61% of their players achieving 3 or more wins at a 5 game tournament, this has now fallen to 56%, which tells us many players are developing tactics on dealing with those Gloomspite Gitz lists. This also tells us that the win rate for them will eventually fall slightly as a result. Do they need a nerf? Well, possibly, as we’ve seen the Jaws of Mork are strong, so it does make sense for GW to bring the bat against the Squigs in the upcoming battlescroll.

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Slaves to Darkness
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Sylvaneth
  • Ogor Mawtribes
  • Gloomspite Gitz
  • Lumineth Realm-Lords

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 2nd April 2023

Advertisements

Menu

Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Tournaments Included:

  • GT Wargame Garrison Madrid
  • AoS Ironman
  • Østjysk Mesterskab I terningehøjdekast
  • Rise of the Champions
  • Quest of Champions – Heat 1
  • Bloodshed in the Shires
  • CaptainCon
  • Columbus Brewhammer
  • DaBoyz Golden Sprue GT
  • War of the Ospreys
  • Realm of Geddon
  • Gods of War 3
  • Great South Waaagh
  • War of the Spider God
  • Midwest Bash 2 AoS GT
  • Aos Alliance Open Masters
  • Battle at the Brook
  • Sheffield Slaughter
  • The Lone Star Grand Tournament
  • Battle of Copenhagen
  • Sydney Salt Smash
  • Wardolly Weekend
  • Spring GT
  • A Gathering of Might
  • TCC: AoS March 2-Day Event
  • War Under the Mountain
  • Adepticon 2023
  • The Lords AoS Tournament Season 2
  • IIC N – II GT de CAT
  • Exploding Dice AoS GT
  • Neapolis GT
  • Warhammer Age of Sigmar: Matched Play Event
  • Cherokee Open
  • Small Town Throwdoen: Smoke on the Water
  • AOSFF Solo 2022-2023 Finale
  • Norsehammer Open
  • G&T GT
  • Sigmar’s Spice Rack
  • Golden Potato
  • Realmgate Rampage II
  • Brewdog AoS GT
  • Midtcon GT
  • Southampton GT
  • Silverstream Smackdown
  • War in the North 3
  • Straight Edge Wargaming
  • Guts & Glory AoS Club Tournament
  • Sparkle Party Deathmatch VIII
  • Rocky Mountain Open
  • Rumble in the Rockies
  • March Mayhem
  • Dazmaul Wargaming Tournament 2023
  • Stockholm Slaughter 9: Miniluntan
  • Manchester AoG GT
  • Spring Rumpus GT
  • Dala Stompen
  • Fantasia Fanatic XLIII
  • Vic GT 2023
  • Justtice Series Grand Tournament
  • Quest of Champions – Heat 2
    • Broken Realms and Minis for War 3

Faction Win Rates

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Win Rates

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll.

Our first takeaway is that at the present win rates, the new Kharadron Overlords book has had a massive impact, making a debut last week at around 67%, it’s now fallen to 64%, will the this trend continue? Players who fought the previous iteration are perhaps being wrong-footed by the switch in where the threats are coming from in this new book. I think that this may yet settle down, but not before the new Battlescroll hits next month.

We won’t talk about the new Slaanesh or Khorne results yet, as with only three players apiece it’s too early to draw any meaningful data from these.

Disciples of Tzeentch are in excess of the 45-55% bracket. While Big Waaagh has fallen this week back within tolerance. Big Waaagh is a small (possibly highly skilled) sample size, the Disciples of Tzeentch is now large enough of a sample to consider this figure seriously.

Gloomspite Gitz and Lumineth Realm-Lords both threaten to break the 45-55% bracket but as yet haven’t quite done so. Interestingly with Lumineth, we are seeing a standout subfaction here (which as we all know revolves around Teclis, Sentinels and the Rune of Petrification).

This goes to show, that looking at a win rate for a faction as a whole doesn’t necessarily tell the whole picture. We can see that Helon (the most common subfaction) is reaching the dizzying heights of 61%, but this is being pulled down by the other subfactions, with Ymetrica (the cow dudes) really suffering.

Likewise with Gloomspite Gitz, we’re seeing that the Jaws of Mork (Squigs), is really the outstanding subfaction so far, while all the others are seeing pretty reasonable win rates. So don’t necesaarily rag on your mate that plays Gitz (unless they’re playing Jaws).

If you wish to view our traditional win rate chart without the margin of confidence:

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

For once Stormcast have been knocked off their perch as the most popular faction, with Slaves to Darkness now taking the top spot. Athough Stormcast did make a considerable dent into this faction lead last weekend.

Faction Popularity

Looking further into this, let’s compare some of these factions current popularity to their past results.

I’ve chosen seven factions, all of which have been affected by either new Battletomes or rules changes in some way over the last few months.

Ogor Mawtribes saw a large jump in their player base from December onwards as the players started seeing the potential of their new battletome.

We can also see straight away the effect of the Slaves to Darkness new Battletone in January/February with time. Their share of the player base jumped from roughly 2.5% in the previous months to well over 5% in January onwards. With 9.4% of all the players in February choosing Slaves to Darkness. Likewise, we see a drop in the percentage of Seraphon, Sons of Behemat, and Idoneth Deepkin players for the same time periods.

With the recent release of the Gloomspite Gitz tome, we’re also seeing a large number of players jump to the revamped destruction faction.

The full list month-by-month is below:

When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta worldwide it may not be representative of your local meta.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from 3

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

We can see here that the graph is sorted left to right by the number of 5-0s. Lumineth Realm-Lords have achieved the most with 9 players going 5-0. When looking at this graph, bear in mind the player base size shown in brackets.

Results Split

This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments. Previously new Gloomspite Gitz had 61% of their players achieving 3 or more wins at a 5 game tournament, this has now fallen to 56%, which tells us many players are developing tactics on dealing with those Gloomspite Gitz lists. This also tells us that the win rate for them will eventually fall slightly as a result. Do they need a nerf? Well, possibly, as we’ve seen the Jaws of Mork are strong, so it does make sense for GW to bring the bat against the Squigs in the upcoming battlescroll.

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Slaves to Darkness
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Sylvaneth
  • Ogor Mawtribes
  • Gloomspite Gitz
  • Lumineth Realm-Lords

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 26th March 2023

Advertisements

Menu

Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Tournaments Included:

  • GT Wargame Garrison Madrid
  • AoS Ironman
  • Østjysk Mesterskab I terningehøjdekast
  • Rise of the Champions
  • Quest of Champions – Heat 1
  • Bloodshed in the Shires
  • CaptainCon
  • Columbus Brewhammer
  • DaBoyz Golden Sprue GT
  • War of the Ospreys
  • Realm of Geddon
  • Gods of War 3
  • Great South Waaagh
  • War of the Spider God
  • Midwest Bash 2 AoS GT
  • Aos Alliance Open Masters
  • Battle at the Brook
  • Sheffield Slaughter
  • The Lone Star Grand Tournament
  • Battle of Copenhagen
  • Sydney Salt Smash
  • Wardolly Weekend
  • Spring GT
  • A Gathering of Might
  • TCC: AoS March 2-Day Event
  • War Under the Mountain
  • Adepticon 2023
  • The Lords AoS Tournament Season 2
  • IIC N – II GT de CAT
  • Exploding Dice AoS GT
  • Warhammer Age of Sigmar: Matched Play Event
  • Cherokee Open
  • Small Town Throwdoen: Smoke on the Water
  • AOSFF Solo 2022-2023 Finale
  • Norsehammer Open
  • G&T GT
  • Sigmar’s Spice Rack
  • Golden Potato
  • Realmgate Rampage II
  • Brewdog AoS GT
  • Midtcon GT
  • Southampton GT
  • Silverstream Smackdown
  • War in the North 3
  • Straight Edge Wargaming
  • Guts & Glory AoS Club Tournament
  • Sparkle Party Deathmatch VIII
  • Rocky Mountain Open
  • Rumble in the Rockies
  • March Mayhem
  • Dazmaul Wargaming Tournament 2023
  • Stockholm Slaughter 9: Miniluntan
  • Manchester AoG GT
  • Spring Rumpus GT
  • Dala Stompen
  • Fantasia Fanatic XLIII
  • Vic GT 2023
  • Justtice Series Grand Tournament

Faction Win Rates

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Win Rates

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll.

Our first takeaway is that at the present win rates, the new Kharadron Overlords book has had a massive impact, making a debut at around 67%. However, bear in mind that this book is a complete overhaul of the previous version. Players who fought the previous iteration are perhaps being wrong-footed by the switch in where the threats are coming from in this new book. I think that this may yet settle down, but not before the new Battlescroll hits next month.

Big Waagh and Disciples of Tzeentch are in excess of the 45-55% bracket. While Big Waaagh is a small (possibly highly skilled) sample size, the Disciples of Tzeentch is now large enough of a sample to consider this figure seriously.

Gloomspite Gitz and Lumineth Realm-Lords both threaten to break the 45-55% bracket but as yet haven’t quite done so. Interestingly with Lumineth, we are seeing a standout subfaction here (which as we all know revolves around Teclis, Sentinels and the Rune of Petrification).

This goes to show, that looking at a win rate for a faction as a whole doesn’t necessarily tell the whole picture. We can see that Helon (the most common subfaction) is reaching the dizzying heights of 61%, but this is being pulled down by the other subfactions, with Ymetrica (the cow dudes) really suffering.

Likewise with Gloomspite Gitz, we’re seeing that the Jaws of Mork (Squigs), is really the outstanding subfaction so far, while all the others are seeing pretty reasonable win rates. So don’t necesaarily rag on your mate that plays Gitz (unless they’re playing Jaws).

If you wish to view our traditional win rate chart without the margin of confidence:

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

For once Stormcast have been knocked off their perch as the most popular faction, with Slaves to Darkness now taking the top spot. Athough Stormcast did make a considerable dent into this faction lead last weekend.

Faction Popularity

Looking further into this, let’s compare some of these factions current popularity to their past results.

I’ve chosen seven factions, all of which have been affected by either new Battletomes or rules changes in some way over the last few months.

Ogor Mawtribes saw a large jump in their player base from December onwards as the players started seeing the potential of their new battletome.

We can also see straight away the effect of the Slaves to Darkness new Battletone in January/February with time. Their share of the player base jumped from roughly 2.5% in the previous months to well over 5% in January onwards. With 9.4% of all the players in February choosing Slaves to Darkness. Likewise, we see a drop in the percentage of Seraphon, Sons of Behemat, and Idoneth Deepkin players for the same time periods.

With the recent release of the Gloomspite Gitz tome, we’re also seeing a large number of players jump to the revamped destruction faction.

The full list month-by-month is below:

When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta worldwide it may not be representative of your local meta.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from 3

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

We can see here that the graph is sorted left to right by the number of 5-0s. Lumineth Realm-Lords have achieved the most with 9 players going 5-0. When looking at this graph, bear in mind the player base size shown in brackets.

Results Split

This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments. Previously new Gloomspite Gitz had 61% of their players achieving 3 or more wins at a 5 game tournament, this has now fallen to 56%, which tells us many players are developing tactics on dealing with those Gloomspite Gitz lists. This also tells us that the win rate for them will eventually fall slightly as a result. Do they need a nerf? Well, possibly, as we’ve seen the Jaws of Mork are strong, so it does make sense for GW to bring the bat against the Squigs in the upcoming battlescroll.

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Slaves to Darkness
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Sylvaneth
  • Ogor Mawtribes
  • Gloomspite Gitz
  • Lumineth Realm-Lords

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.

Broken Realms and Minis for War GT Preview

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It’s going to be the biggest tournament ever held in Scotland. So big, that Games Workshop are offering the winner a golden ticket to the Atlanta Open! 72 Players are registered to fight it out this weekend as Scotland’s top dog.

We’ve been kindly given a run down of all the lists for this years events (of those submitted anyway), and we can now start going through them and comparing this to the Meta. We’ll also look at the players and their performances over the last year to try and get an idea who’ll finish top dog.

Broken Realms have also shared some of their own stats!

Six Lumineth Lists with four containing Teccy! Two players feeling particularly confident there! Alongside Teccy, across five of the six lists, there are a total of 180 Sentinels. Yes, someone didn’t take Sentinels and has gone heavy on the Angus!

Three Daughters of Khaine players and only one Morathi among them? What’s going on?!

Four Gloomspite Gitz lists with two of those going for the Cream of Mushroom Soup – Jaws of Mork. Three of these lists also contain Skaggy.

Faction Popularity

The Broken Realms player split, doesn’t at all follow the current worldwide meta trend. Slaves to Darkness are the most popular faction still, but this is followed by Lumineth Realm-Lords and Fyreslayers rather than Stormcast Eternals or Ogor Mawtribes.

Seraphon also have a large representation of 5 armies, where when using the worldwide trend, we’d have only expected 1 army.

Grand Strategies

Most players chose either a Strategy from their factions Battletome or Take What’s Theirs (More units than the opponent, inside opponent’s territory).

And, understandably, no one went for Tame the Land (control all the objectives on the battlefield wholly outside your territory).

Triumphs

Players that have lists with 1,980 points or less are more likely to be able to use their triumph

Drops

The average amount of drops for an army at Broken Realms is 5.7. If you’re attending and you have less than this, you’re more likely to have the choice of priority in turn 1.

Player Rankings

Here is our full run down of everyone’s stats that is attending since July 2022, and has previously attended at least one GT (that we’re aware of), sorted by their win rates,

So, JJ (Stormcast) is probably the odds on favourite with a huge win rate of 83% this year that can’t be ignored. Trev Moffat (Big Waaagh!) and Hogg Euan (Bonereapers) are close behind with 80% but have only attended a single GT each this year, I also think Boneboyz will struggle in a larger GT. My pick for 2nd would go to David Jack (Lumineth), another seasoned veteran with a win rate of 79% and a meta leading faction as his army choice. Nathan Watson (Gloomspite) – vice captain of the Scottish AoS Team is my choice for third, who also has the experience and another meta leading faction choice to possibly see him though to four or five wins.

Exciting event, I’m looking forward to seeing the results and talking to the top three about their lists. Good luck to everyone taking part a

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 19th March 2023

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Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Tournaments Included:

  • GT Wargame Garrison Madrid
  • AoS Ironman
  • Østjysk Mesterskab I terningehøjdekast
  • Rise of the Champions
  • Quest of Champions – Heat 1
  • Bloodshed in the Shires
  • CaptainCon
  • Columbus Brewhammer
  • DaBoyz Golden Sprue GT
  • War of the Ospreys
  • Realm of Geddon
  • Gods of War 3
  • Great South Waaagh
  • War of the Spider God
  • Midwest Bash 2 AoS GT
  • Aos Alliance Open Masters
  • Battle at the Brook
  • Sheffield Slaughter
  • The Lone Star Grand Tournament
  • Battle of Copenhagen
  • Sydney Salt Smash
  • Wardolly Weekend
  • Spring GT
  • A Gathering of Might
  • Warhammer Age of Sigmar: Matched Play Event
  • Cherokee Open
  • Small Town Throwdoen: Smoke on the Water
  • AOSFF Solo 2022-2023 Finale
  • Norsehammer Open
  • G&T GT
  • Sigmar’s Spice Rack
  • Golden Potato
  • Realmgate Rampage II
  • Brewdog AoS GT
  • Midtcon GT
  • Southampton GT
  • Silverstream Smackdown
  • War in the North 3
  • Straight Edge Wargaming
  • Guts & Glory AoS Club Tournament
  • Sparkle Party Deathmatch VIII
  • Rocky Mountain Open
  • Rumble in the Rockies
  • March Mayhem
  • Dazmaul Wargaming Tournament 2023
  • Stockholm Slaughter 9: Miniluntan

Faction Win Rates

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Win Rates

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll.

Our first takeaway is that at the present win rates, Big Waaagh and Lumineth Real-Lords both have current win rates of over 55%. However, bear in mind that the player base for Big Waaagh is extremely small at just 16 players. This could mean that those players who are dedicated to a faction in this way are more knowledgeable about the tricks to get the most out of their models. On top of that, factions with a large sample size such as Stormcast Eternals or Slaves to Darkness will have players with varying skill levels playing them, as a result this can drag down their win rate compared to a faction with a smaller sample size.

If you wish to view our traditional win rate chart without the margin of confidence:

Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

For once Stormcast have been knocked off their perch as the most popular faction, with Slaves to Darkness now taking the top spot.

Faction Popularity

Looking further into this, let’s compare some of these factions current popularity to their past results.

I’ve chosen seven factions, all of which have been affected by either new Battletomes or rules changes in some way over the last few months.

Ogor Mawtribes saw a large jump in their player base from December onwards as the players started seeing the potential of their new battletome.

We can also see straight away the effect of the Slaves to Darkness new Battletone in January/February with time. Their share of the player base jumped from roughly 2.5% in the previous months to well over 5% in January onwards. With 9.4% of all the players in February choosing Slaves to Darkness. Likewise, we see a drop in the percentage of Seraphon, Sons of Behemat, and Idoneth Deepkin players for the same time periods.

With the recent release of the Gloomspite Gitz tome, we’re also seeing a large number of players jump to the revamped destruction faction.

The full list month-by-month is below:

When looking at the above table, bear in mind that this is the worldwide meta, and region to region or even city to city may differ. So while this gives us a general idea of the meta worldwide it may not be representative of your local meta.

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from 3

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

We can see here that the graph is sorted left to right by the number of 5-0s. Lumineth Realm-Lords have achieved the most with 6 players going 5-0. When looking at this graph, bear in mind the player base size shown in brackets.

Results Split

This chart tells you which factions are more capable of achieving positive results at tournaments. Here we can see for example that the new Gloomspite Gitz have 61% of their players achieving 3 or more wins at a 5 game tournament, while at the other end of the table only 31% of Ironjawz players are achieving a positive result at GT’s.

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Slaves to Darkness
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Sylvaneth
  • Ogor Mawtribes
  • Gloomspite Gitz
  • Lumineth Realm-Lords

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.

AoS Meta Stats W/Ending 12th March 2023

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Menu

Disclaimer

The data contained inside this article is only Woehammer’s interpretation. There are differing methods and analyses of the data available from Games Workshop and Honest Wargamer, whose methodology differs slightly from our own.

All of these sources should be viewed as a collective whole to allow you to gather a larger picture of the Age of Sigmar meta. The win rates, while accurate for events we have on record so far, are likely to change in the coming weeks and shouldn’t be the single point of reference for a factions strength.

How Win Rates are Calculated

All of our data is pulled from two day single events. We split all draws between the wins and losses of a faction evenly, as we believe this provides a fair reflection of a factions win rate. For example, as a player, you may achieve 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw at an event. Some sites will only count the wins towards the faction rate, so in this case, 40% (2/5=0.4). Woehammer includes half of the draws, so our result would be 50% (2.5/5=0.5).

We have also included a confidence interval based on the sample size and their results. This interval has a 95% confidence rate. What does this mean? Essentially, we’re 95% sure that the win rate of the faction will fall inside this band at the release of the next battlescroll.

We have decided to include this as each factions win rates can (and will) fluctuate as more and more players post their results. While the faction win rate may be that specified right now, it is more than likely to change in the future. So when looking at a win rate, take into account the number of players who have posted results, as well as the upper and lower limit of that 95% confidence interval. This will give a good indication of the future win rate of that faction.

How is the confidence interval calculated?

First of all we calculate each factions standard deviation (this is the spread in player results).

Event Submission

If you have organised an event that doesn’t appear in our database and has the following minimum requirements to be included:

  • Two Day Event
  • Singles Event
  • Minimum of 8 players

Then why not complete the form attached and send the results to thewoehammer@gmail.com? We’ll include them the next time we produce the stats.

Data Overview

Tournaments Included:

  • GT Wargame Garrison Madrid
  • AoS Ironman
  • Østjysk Mesterskab I terningehøjdekast
  • Rise of the Champions
  • Quest of Champions – Heat 1
  • Bloodshed in the Shires
  • CaptainCon
  • Columbus Brewhammer
  • DaBoyz Golden Sprue GT
  • War of the Ospreys
  • Realm of Geddon
  • Gods of War 3
  • Great South Waaagh
  • War of the Spider God
  • Midwest Bash 2 AoS GT
  • Aos Alliance Open Masters
  • Battle at the Brook
  • Sheffield Slaughter
  • The Lone Star Grand Tournament
  • Battle of Copenhagen
  • Sydney Salt Smash
  • Warhammer Age of Sigmar: Matched Play Event
  • Cherokee Open
  • Small Town Throwdoen: Smoke on the Water
  • AOSFF Solo 2022-2023 Finale
  • Norsehammer Open
  • G&T GT
  • Sigmar’s Spice Rack
  • Golden Potato
  • Realmgate Rampage II
  • Brewdog AoS GT
  • Midtcon GT
  • Southampton GT
  • Silverstream Smackdown
  • War in the North 3
  • Straight Edge Wargaming
  • Guts & Glory AoS Club Tournament
  • Sparkle Party Deathmatch VIII
  • Rocky Mountain Open
  • Rumble in the Rockies
  • March Mayhem

Faction Win Rates

As we have now included a confidence interval within our data based on the sample size and results, we have now included all factions within the below tables regardless of their player base.

Win Rates

Double click on the image or download the image to view the graph in its full size.

You’ll see in the chart above that each faction shows its current win rate as a % inside a text box. The paler green and yellow segments show the margin of error of that win rate. We predict with 95% confidence that the win rate will be within the paler bars upon the release of the next battlescroll.

Our first takeaway is that at the present win rates, Big Waaagh and Lumineth Real-Lords both have current win rates of over 55%. However, bear in mind that the player base for Big Waaagh is extremely small at just 13 players. This could mean that those players who are dedicated to a faction in this way are more knowledgeable about the tricks to get the most out of their models. On top of that, factions with a large sample size such as Stormcast Eternals or Slaves to Darkness will have players with varying skill levels playing them, as a result this can drag down their win rate compared to a faction with a smaller sample size.

If you wish to view our traditional win rate chart without the margin of confidence:

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Player Results by Wins

This graph has at least two purposes. Firstly, it shows the faction popularity by the number of players, and secondly, it breaks down those players’ results in terms of the number of wins they achieve.

Here, we’ve included all the factions that have been played to date, as there is no benefit in removing those with a small sample size.

For once Stormcast have been knocked off their perch as the most popular faction, with Slaves to Darkness now taking the top spot.

Faction Popularity

Looking further into this, let’s compare some of these factions current popularity to their past results.

I’ve chosen seven factions, all of which have been affected by either new Battletomes or rules changes in some way over the last few months.

Ogor Mawtribes saw a large jump in their player base from December onwards as the players started seeing the potential of their new battletome.

We can also see straight away the effect of the Slaves to Darkness new Battletone in January/February with time. Their share of the player base jumped from roughly 2.5% in the previous months to well over 5% in January onwards. With 9.4% of all the players in February choosing Slaves to Darkness. Likewise, we see a drop in the percentage of Seraphon, Sons of Behemat, and Idoneth Deepkin players for the same time periods.

With the recent release of the Gloomspite Gitz tome, we’re also seeing a large number of players jump to the revamped destruction faction.

The full list month-by-month is below:

Players Achieving 5-0 Wins, Tournaments in Winning Positions and 3 Wins from 3

Out of all the players using that faction (shown in brackets next to the faction name), this graph shows the number achieving a whitewash at a GT with 5 wins from 5. Those achieving 4 wins from 4 after the fourth round and those achieving 3 wins from 3 after the 3rd round. Take into account that those who achieve 5-0 are included in the numbers of 4 wins from 4 and 3 wins from 3. Likewise, those achieving 4 from 4 are included with the 3 from 3 data.

We can see here that the graph is sorted left to right by the number of 5-0s. Lumineth Realm-Lords have achieved the most with 6 players going 5-0. When looking at this graph, bear in mind the player base size shown in brackets.

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Results Split

This graph can tell you which factions are more capable of achieving 5-0 results. But bear in mind those factions with smaller sample sizes such as Big Waaagh or Cities of Sigmar will have a dedicated player base who know their time very well. It does show that Fyreslayers, while being relatively popular, also have a fair number of their players achieve 5-0.

Conclusions

If you’re planning your list for a GT, look at the data as a whole. Think about which armies are popular, as you’ll likely face at least one or two of these armies at some point during an event, especially in the earlier rounds.

Look at those factions that are regularly in a tournament winning position and winning GTs, as these are likely to be your opponents in the later rounds. I believe you should look at building a list that is able to cope with playing the following factions at some point in a GT if you’re looking to compete;

  • Slaves to Darkness
  • Stormcast Eternals
  • Sylvaneth
  • Ogor Mawtribes
  • Gloomspite Gitz
  • Lumineth Realm-Lords

But also, if you’re playing a local GT with your club, then bear in mind that meta may be completely different to those given in the stats above. All of what is presented here, should be taken with a pinch of salt, but hopefully it gives you some guidance when it comes to list construction, or even army choice if you’re looking to play Age of Sigmar.

Our Database

This is our most copy of our database.